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Rally uninterrupted

Mon, 01st Aug 2022 09:09

RALLY UNINTERRUPTED (0749 GMT)

The STOXX 600 has opened flat and it is slowly gaining ground in early deals, confounding expectations for a weaker start thanks to a batch of positive corporate updates.

The pan European index was up 0.2% to a fresh three-week high with banking stocks leading the pack, up 1.8% after HSBC upbeat earnings outlook.

London-listed HSBC shares are among the top performers, up around 6%, after Europe's biggest bank announced a higher profitability target and bullish dividend outlook. It also pushed back on a proposal by top shareholder Ping An Insurance Group Co of China to split itself.

Pearson shares are also up around 6% as the education group reiterated its full-year profit outlook and said its new integrated structure under boss Andy Bird was helping to save costs and grow the top line.

(Joice Alves)

WHEN BAD NEWS SOUNDS GOOD (0655 GMT)

After a strong set of mostly upbeat earnings reports from both sides of the Atlantic last week, stock bulls will now want macro data to disappoint.

While the Fed has hiked interest rates by 225 basis points already this year as it fights the worst inflation in four decades, disappointing economic news could force it to slow down, providing relief to jittery markets.

The Fed, the White House and economists all say that the economy is not in recession based on broader measures of activity, but Treasury yields are pricing in bad news.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell 33 basis points in July, marking the largest monthly decline since March 2020.

As August kicks off with manufacturing surveys from around the world, there's hope for the bond and stock bulls.

Asian equities started Monday on a weak note, with China's factory activity contracting unexpectedly in July as virus flare-ups cloud the outlook for demand.

Japan's manufacturing activity also expanded at the weakest rate in 10 months in July.

The tepid growth outlook hit oil prices after they ended last month with their second straight monthly losses for the first time since 2020.

U.S. stock futures traded lower in Asia after both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted their biggest monthly percentage gains since 2020.

On the corporate front, banking titan HSBC sought to woo investors with a higher profitability target and bullish dividends outlook, while pushing back on a proposal by its top shareholder to split Europe's biggest bank.

Meanwhile, U.S. House speaker Nancy Pelosi began her tour of four Asian countries but did not mention Taiwan amid intense speculation she might visit the self-ruled island claimed by China.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday:

Economic data - July global PMI final – across the world, Germany June retail sales, US July ISM (manufacturing)

Major earnings: HSBC, AXA and Heineken

China's factory activity contracts unexpectedly in July as COVID flares up -

Evergrande offers sweetener for debt revamp as China property crisis worsens -

(Anshuman Daga)

STOXX RALLY RUNS OUT OF STEAM AHEAD OF EZ UNEMPLOYMENT DATA (0640 GMT)

After surging to a three-week high on Friday and recording in July the best month since November 2020, the pan European STOXX 600 index is seen losing steam ahead of the release of the euro zone unemployment data.

While unemployment rate for June in the euro area is expected to remain stable, traders are in a muddled mood after disappointing Chinese factory activity data fed doubts the rally in Europe and Wall Street could be sustained.

Adding to pressures, in the earnings front, HSBC pretax profit falls 15% in the first half of the year. There are also some better-than-expected results, with Heineken for instance beating expectations.

At 0640 GMT European futures are edging lower. Euro zone unemployment rate for June is expected at 0900 GMT.

(Joice Alves)

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