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Credit Suisse sees rising risks for challengers banks Aldermore, Shawbrook

Tue, 25th Oct 2016 11:46

(ShareCast News) - OneSavings Bank received an upgrade but Aldermore and Shawbrook were downgraded by Credit Suisse as it warned the risks facing the UK's challenger banks were "becoming harder to ignore" heading into 2017.Following solid share price recoveries in recent months, the risk-reward for some names "is less clear" for some, prompting the Swiss bank to turn more defensive and downgrade Aldermore and Shawbrook to 'neutral' from 'outperform'.With Theresa May declaring a March deadline to start the Brexit separation process, Credit Suisse said it expects related risks and uncertainties to materialise."Conceptually, we believe business lending will be affected earlier in a weakening economy," CS said in the note on Tuesday.Aldermore and Showbrook are exposed to non-property SME lending - around 24% and 28% of first-half group loans respectively - "which we expect to be more sensitive to a deterioration in the macro economic environment".OneSavings bank was upgraded to 'outperform' or 'neutral' as it is felt to have stronger buffers from existing strong capital accretion and ROTEs, with analysts' dividend expectations increased well above the consensus."We are less concerned about asset quality in BTL (which is ultimately secured on property) than SME lending. This also gives OSB the most near to medium-term flexibility on capital amongst our coverage, we think."Elsewhere among the challenger banks the CS analysts continue to prefer Clydesdale, on an 'outperform' rating for its inexpensive self-help story from cost restructuring, compared to Virgin Money, at 'neutral' due to its greater use of operational/financial leverage posing a challenge in a weaker revenue environment.Analysts also noted Reuters reports that suggest the BBA is encouraging the government to reduce the current 8% corporate tax surcharge on banks - "this would benefit the sector if implemented, but wouldn't affect our relative preferences".
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29 Feb 2016 11:52

Peel Hunt sees attractions of the 'challenger banks'

(ShareCast News) - Broker Peel Hunt has slapped a 'buy' recommendation on Aldermore, OneSavings Bank and Shawbrook, as it began coverage of the three challenger banks. After some weeks of significant share price weakness in the trio, Peel Hunt said there was now an opportunity to acquire "high-quali

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29 Feb 2016 10:41

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Mixed Fortunes For Morrisons And Ocado

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29 Feb 2016 09:34

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Goldman Sachs Raises Sky And Cuts ITV

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25 Feb 2016 16:19

Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Week Ahead

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21 Jan 2016 08:14

Shawbrook Poaches New Consumer Finance Boss From Lloyds

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20 Jan 2016 13:07

Broker tips: JD Wetherspoon, WH Smith, Shawbrook

(ShareCast News) - JD Wetherspoon was under pressure on Wednesday as Investec cut its target price to 760p from 800p after the pub operator guided full year profits lower. In a trading statement, chairman Tim Martin warned that full year profits "were likely to below the lower end of analysts' expec

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20 Jan 2016 11:14

Credit Suisse picks favourites from UK challenger banks

(ShareCast News) - Credit Suisse initiated coverage of Shawbrook at 'outperform' with a 410p price target, saying the model is attractive, given that it avoids commoditised lending and is diversified across both SME and consumer lending. The Swiss bank prefers Shawbrook to Aldermore, as its stronger

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10 Jan 2016 16:15

Sunday newspaper round-up: BT, Shire, Sainsbury's, Laird

(ShareCast News) - A handful of much-anticipated deals could be announced in the coming week, according to the Sunday newspapers, including BT's acquisition of EE, Shire's takeover of Baxalta and Sainsbury's follow up offer for Home Retail. BT's acquisition of mobile phone network EE will be given f

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15 Dec 2015 09:46

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Berenberg Upgrades Meggitt To Buy From Hold

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25 Nov 2015 13:54

Buy-To-Let Properties Face Extra 3.0% In UK Stamp Duty From April 2016

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19 Nov 2015 09:36

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Merrill Lynch Downgrades Challenger Banks

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19 Nov 2015 08:26

LONDON BRIEFING: Johnson Matthey Pleases With Special Dividend

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12 Nov 2015 08:00

Pollen Street Sells 10% Stake In Challenger Bank Shawbrook (ALLISS)

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5 Nov 2015 10:35

Shawbrook's profit surges in first nine months of the year

(ShareCast News) - Challenger bank Shawbrook posted a sharp rise in underlying profit in the first three quarters of 2015, boosted by higher demand for loans for small businesses. In the nine months to the end of September, the London-listed group registered a 68% year-on-year increase in underlying

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5 Nov 2015 09:31

Shawbrook Reports Higher Profit Amid Strong Small-Business Loan Demand

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