* European stocks slide 0.1%
* Compass outlook disappoints, shares down 5.6%
* Trade-sensitive autos, mining, tech sectors retreat
* Travel & leisure sector set for worst day in 3 months
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters and anchored today by Thyagaraju Adinarayan. Reach him on Messenger to share
your thoughts on market moves: rm://thyagaraju.adinarayan.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
2020 MARKETS HOROSCOPE: SLOW AND STEADY (1021 GMT)
Three months back recession fears were gripping financial markets amid U.S. yield curve
inversion and U.S.-China trade spat intensifying, fast forward to today, analysts and
strategists expect 2020 to be another good year with global stocks hitting fresh record highs,
profits improving (although only slightly) and there is no mention of the "R" word.
One of the Wall Street's biggest banks Goldman Sachs' 2020 predictions are:
* Another 10% rally for MSCI World
* Profits rising (+3% for Europe, +11% for Asia and +6% for U.S.)
* S&P 500 scaling a record 3400 pts, STOXX 600 record 420 pts
* German bund yield at 0%
"While the macro backdrop should be broadly favorable for equity markets and, in the absence
of a recession, profits are likely to grow, equities already appear to be pricing in a broad
economic recovery, following the rally in the past couple of months," GS strategists write in a
note.
What about the extended cycle?
GS says this cycle is likely to last longer for economies and equity markets than many
investors fear. But mirroring rest of the Wall Street's view, GS says there will be lower
returns in the rest of the cycle due as there is modest headroom for valuation expansion.
Part of the reason for lower returns is also the shrinking size of high growth (>8%)
companies globally. GS says the share of high growth companies has fallen from 40% in 2009 to
25% today.
GS predictions:
(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
*****
OPENING SNAPSHOT: EUROPE ON BACKFOOT; COMPASS DRAGS (0825 GMT)
European stocks are on the backfoot this morning with travel & leisure sector taking a
beating after caterer Compass Group's full-year outlook failed to impress investors,
sending its shares down 7%.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index is down 0.1%, largely dragged down by the travel &
leisure sector's 2.4% drop.
Among other movers, Faurecia's shares are rising 3% on its 2022 outlook, yes 2022!
The French car parts maker is targeting record sales, profits and cash generation in 2022 as a
result of its "strategy programme".
Irish building materials supplier CRH scaled a fresh three-year peak after its
guided full-year profit outlook above market expectations.
(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
*****
FUTURES INCH HIGHER ON TRADE HOPES (0754 GMT)
Stock futures point to a slightly higher open for Europe after yesterday's solid rally as
positive noise on trade from China helps bourses hold on to gains.
It's very quiet on the corporate front with very few earnings updates as we approach the
business end of the third quarter.
Dealers expect Compass to open 1% higher after the company, which provides meals for
office workers, reported strong margins. Irish building materials supplier CRH is seen
rising 1%-2% after its reassuring trading update showed it was on track to beat its full-year
profit obligations. Britain's Pets at Home Group is seen rising 5% on its upbeat
outlook.
M&A spree in Europe continues: Bloomberg reports that Europcar is drawing
interest from private equity players. It comes two weeks after a Reuters report that European
investment firm Eurazeo is exploring a partial or full sale of its near 30% stake in
Europcar. Europcar is seen rising 5%.
De La Rue is seen falling 7% on its plan to suspend dividend as its banknotes
printing unit struggles with depressed margins.
Headlines to digest:
Fiat, PSA tell employees they will sign merger agreement in coming weeks
India probe finds SKF, Schaeffler, Tata Steel units colluded on bearings prices
Enel raises the bar on earnings as it pledges to spend more on clean energy
Car parts maker Faurecia sees record sales and profits in 2022
Caterer Compass Group posts higher profit, warns on Europe performance
Just Eat-shareholder Cat Rock urges investors to back Takeaway.com deal
Pets At Home sees annual underlying pre-tax profit at top-end of market view
De La Rue to suspend dividend, review operations to cut costs
(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
*****
IT'S ALL ABOUT U.S.-CHINA TRADE, AGAIN (0628 GMT)
European stocks are seen extending their gains from Monday as U.S. and China "reached a
consensus" on resolving a number of relevant issues, yet again raising hopes for a quick
resolution to the 16-month trade spat between the world's top two economies.
Elsewhere, Wall Street closed at fresh record highs led by tech stocks and Alibaba's solid
Hong Kong market debut lifted sentiment in Asia.
"...they (trade deal progress) do tend to create a momentum all of their own, even when they
are denied, and no matter how cynical you are, it has tended to be a fool’s errand in standing
in the way of any move higher," CMC Markets' Michael Hewson says.
Financial spreadbetters IG expect London's FTSE to open 16 points higher at 7,412,
Frankfurt's DAX to open 28 points higher at 13,275 and Paris' CAC to open 10 points higher at
5,934.
(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
*****
(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days
Friday 22 July | |
Beazley PLC | Half Year Results |
FRP Advisory Group PLC | Full Year Results |
Record PLC | Q1 Results |
Monday 25 July | |
ECO Animal Health Group PLC | Full Year Results |
F&C Investment Trust PLC | Half Year Results |
GlobalData PLC | Half Year Results |
JTC PLC | Trading Statement |
Plant Health Care PLC | Trading Statement |
SThree PLC | Half Year Results |
Vodafone Group PLC | Trading Statement |
XLMedia PLC | Trading Statement |
Tuesday 26 July | |
Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust PLC | Half Year Results |
Ascential PLC | Half Year Results |
Bytes Technology Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Capital & Counties Properties PLC | Half Year Results |
Cohort PLC | Full Year Results |
Compass Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Drax Group PLC | Half Year Results |
easyJet PLC | Trading Statement |
Ergomed PLC | Trading Statement |
Franchise Brands PLC | Half Year Results |
Games Workshop Group PLC | Full Year Results |
Gore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC | Full Year Results |
Greencore Group PLC | Q3 Results |
John Menzies PLC | Trading Statement |
Medica Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Mitie Group PLC | Trading Statement |
NewRiver REIT PLC | Trading Statement |
Playtech PLC | Trading Statement |
Reach PLC | Half Year Results |
Ricardo PLC | Trading Statement |
Sabre Insurance Group PLC | Half Year Results |
SME Credit Realisation Fund Ltd | Full Year Results |
Trifast PLC | Full Year Results |
Tyman PLC | Half Year Results |
Unilever PLC | Half Year Results |
Vivo Energy PLC | Half Year Results |
Wickes Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Wednesday 27 July | |
Aptitude Software Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC | Half Year Results |
BlackRock Energy & Resources Income Trust PLC | Half Year Results |
Breedon Group PLC | Half Year Results |
British American Tobacco PLC | Half Year Results |
FirstGroup PLC | Trading Statement |
Fresnillo PLC | Q2 Production Results |
GSK PLC | Half Year Results |
Hargreaves Services PLC | Full Year Results |
Hiscox Ltd | Trading Statement |
Ibstock PLC | Half Year Results |
International Personal Finance PLC | Half Year Results |
Lancashire Holdings Ltd | Half Year Results |
Lloyds Banking Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Marston's PLC | Trading Statement |
Motorpoint Group PLC | Trading Statement |
musicMagpie PLC | Half Year Results |
Nichols PLC | Half Year Results |
Primary Health Properties PLC | Half Year Results |
Quartix Technologies PLC | Half Year Results |
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Rio Tinto PLC | Half Year Results |
Smart Metering Systems PLC | Half Year Results |
Smurfit Kappa Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Ted Baker PLC | Trading Statement |
Unite Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Wizz Air Holdings PLC | Q1 Results |
Yourgene Health PLC | Full Year Results |
Thursday 28 July | |
Airtel Africa PLC | Trading Statement |
Anglo American PLC | Half Year Results |
Aveva Group PLC | Trading Statement |
BAE Systems PLC | Half Year Results |
Barclays PLC | Half Year Results |
Bodycote PLC | Half Year Results |
BT Group PLC | Q1 Results |
Centrica PLC | Half Year Results |
CVS Group PLC | Trading Statement |
De La Rue PLC | Trading Statement |
Diageo PLC | Full Year Results |
discoverIE Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Dr Martens PLC | Trading Statement |
Elementis PLC | Half Year Results |
FDM Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Forterra PLC | Half Year Results |
Foxtons Group PLC | Half Year Results |
GB Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Greencoat UK Wind PLC | Half Year Results |
Hammerson PLC | Half Year Results |
Headlam Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Inchcape PLC | Half Year Results |
Indivior PLC | Half Year Results |
Informa PLC | Half Year Results |
ITV PLC | Half Year Results |
Jupiter Fund Management PLC | Half Year Results |
Logistics Development Group PLC | Trading Statement |
Metro Bank PLC | Half Year Results |
Mitchells & Butlers PLC | Trading Statement |
Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) PLC | Trading Statement |
Mothercare PLC | Full Year Results |
MySale Group PLC | Trading Statement |
National Express Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Quixant PLC | Trading Statement |
Rathbones Group PLC | Half Year Results |
Relx PLC | Half Year Results |
Rentokil Initial PLC | Half Year Results |
Restore PLC | Half Year Results |
Robert Walters PLC | Half Year Results |
Schroders PLC | Half Year Results |
Segro PLC | Half Year Results |
Shell PLC | Q2 Results |
Smith & Nephew PLC | Half Year Results |
St James's Place PLC | Half Year Results |
Vesuvius PLC | Half Year Results |
Volex PLC | Half Year Results |
Weir Group PLC | Half Year Results |
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