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Construction, pharma, gold miners seen as Europe's top Trump trades

Wed, 09th Nov 2016 13:25

LONDON, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Global markets reacted nervouslyon Wednesday to Donald Trump's surprise victory in the U.S.presidential election, but construction, pharma and gold miningstocks emerged as big winners in the European trading session.

Gains in those three sectors helped pull European stocks off their early lows that had followed a slump in WallStreet futures. The European index had been expected to open asmuch as 4 percent lower on the election outcome but in the endwas only down about two percent at the outset.

At 1323 GMT the index was down 0.4 percent.

Healthcare stocks were the biggest outperformers, up2.8 percent, followed by basic resources, up 2.4percent, and construction and materials, up 1.2 percent.

The STOXX 600 was down 0.6 percent by midday trading.

Markets had expected Democrat contender Hillary Clinton towin the election rather than Trump, a political outsider with noexperience of public office. Growth-sensitive shares such asautos, financial and travel shares all came under pressure fromthe uncertainty over what a Trump presidency will look like.

Stocks with substantial revenue exposure to the Mexicanpeso, and some with U.S. exposure, were also hit as bothcurrencies have come under pressure.

However, stocks of companies with American exposure thatstand to benefit from Trump's spending plans are seeing a lift.And those that have costs in pesos, rather than derive revenuesfrom Mexico, are also "winners" from the election result.

TRUMP WINNERS

* FRESNILLO - Gold miners are safe-haven playswhich benefit in times of uncertainty. Fresnillo is in additiona Mexico-based, London-listed, dollar-earning company. As suchthe 13 percent slide in the peso provided another lift toFresnillo. Its shares were up 9 percent on Wednesday, the topSTOXX 600 gainer.

* BAE SYSTEMS - Trump's non-committal stance onsupporting NATO allies might prompt increased defence spendingin Europe. Societe Generale picked out BAE Systems as a stockthat could benefit, and say that the sector is at a 5 percentdiscount to the European market and a 20 percent discount to theU.S. defence sector. The stock rose over 3 percent to anall-time high.

* HIKMA, BB BIOTECH - Pharmaceuticals hadbeen inversely correlated with the chances of a Clintonpresidency, as she has proposed higher regulation of pricing inthe sector. Hikma and BB Biotech were both up over 7 percentafter Trump won. Barclays had picked out Hikma as a beneficiaryif Trump won ahead of the election, deriving around half of itsrevenues from the United States. Shire and Novo Nordisk also rallied strongly.

* CRH - The construction firm hit a nine-year highon Wednesday as Trump has pledged to boost infrastructurespending. Trump's acceptance speech, which struck a conciliatorynote and avoided reference to controversial policies mentionedon the campaign trail, reiterated his commitment to increasedinfrastructure spending. CRH derives 50 percent of its revenuesfrom the United States.

* ASHTEAD - Ashtead is identified by Deutsche Bankas the European firm with the highest exposure to increasedinfrastructure spending in the United States, with 84 percent ofits revenues derived there.

TRUMP LOSERS

* BBVA - BBVA is identified by Credit Suisse andSociete Generale as the European bank most exposed to Mexico,from where it derives around 30 percent of its revenues. Thestock would suffer if Trump got into power and scrapped theNorth American Free Trade Agreement, as he has pledged to do.BBVA was down 8.8 percent, its biggest one-day fall since theBrexit vote.

* TATE AND LYLE - Tate & Lyle fell 9 percent, andhas 10 percent exposure to the peso. BNP Paribas downgraded thestock to "underperform" on Wednesday, saying that its Mexicanexposure would weigh on sentiment and profits.

* VESTAS WIND - Renewable energy firms took apounding on concern that President-Elect Trump will cut supportto the sector as he looks to promote coal and other fossilfuels. Vestas derives 40 percent of its revenue from the UnitedStates, per Barclays, and was down 7.2 percent.

* NESTE - Concerns over Trump's approach to theenergy sector also hit Neste. The Finnish renewable diesel makerfell 6.2 percent as the dollar weakened, with concern mountingthat Trump would tweak a tax break for biofuels.

* HEINEKEN, AB INBEV - Brewers Heinekenand AB InBev have substantial exposure to emerging markets likeMexico. Even though food and beverage stocks are seen broadly asdefensive, these two stocks were down over 4 percent. (Reporting by Alistair Smout; Editing by Gareth Jones)

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