RE: Very good Q1 results - and an excellent outlook28 May 2025 13:33
Shore Capital retain their 100p fair value.
They forecast 5.1c EPS this year. With now 7p per share in cash, that's an ex-cash P/E of only 10.2, with a 3.4c dividend as well.
They summarise:
"Conservative forecasts: MTI has a very strong financial platform and aims to grow sales organically and through acquisitions, with any new business incremental to margins/profits. Obviously, we have not assumed any further acquisitions in our forecasts, so given the record of earningsenhancing deals, we would view any M&A as likely to boost forecasts and shareholder value.
Outlook and valuation: MTI entered FY25F with a very strong order backlog and each of the divisions has growth drivers with, in our view, Mottech well placed to potentially see much stronger demand than we forecast for its water management and control software as evidenced by the contract announced earlier this month. The Antenna division is likely to continue to benefit from increased defence spending as well as the rollout of 5G across the world, especially India where it has a manufacturing base. Similarly, we would also expect to see good demand for the defencerelated products and services of Summit/PSK with the latter still expected to return to profitability in FY25F following restructuring.
We have a 100p fair value on the basis of a DCF analysis, which is more than corroborated were MTI to achieve a peer group average of the FY25F EV/sales multiple of 2.6x and EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.4x."