RE: Possible takeover bid24 Sep 2024 16:13
GLG have been shorting this for a while. Their point of view is this is still a little expensive. They increased short just before results, then we had the Sky news report which gapped the price up (probably with their help). They obviously took a view that an offer would not be quick to emerge so sold in to the spike aggressively. This gives them a better return (selling higher than first planned). They are now in full bear mode shorting this. They have 1% of the stock on loan.
GLG are a respectable outfit, they probably just have more insight on this (odds / timings etc) than the average PI. And currently the Sky news story isn't much to go on. I'm sure a lot of PE companies regular investigate the valuations of PLC's. I am still happy with my buy at £2.50, that is the price you pay for making sure you are in with a chance should there be an offer. GLG obviously think there is no rush to cover the short, so they are probably right. In general the shorts do not seem fearful of take overs, though I think the Hargreaves Lansdown TO hurt a few of them. I think prices at this level are only going to be temporary, and an offer would likely be close to £3.00 - if it were to materialise, which it might not.