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DarkEnergy,
"Funnily enough I have been contacted by President Trump's advisors saying exactly the same thing"
Thank you for the clarification. And I completely understand thaat the White House might want to distance themselves from any possible confusion between the current incumbent and myself. He doesn't want to lose votes, does he?
And anyway, such confusion would be difficult to justify. Because unlike a large majority of recent American presidents (like for the last 100 years or more), Trump is a hopeless poker-player. Seemingly whenever he's dealt a decent hand, he bounces up and down in his chair. with a big grin on his face...
DarkEnergy,
"I will happily buy you 568ml, or multiples of, your favourite drink next time in Niort..."
That's very kind of you. But I think I'd have a hard time swallowing 568ml of coffee in one go.
Maybe for the same reason they were ‘stupid’ enough to shoot down an American drone, send a recently released oil tanker to offload in Syria several days after promising this would not happen and seize other vessels in the straits of H. It does not take a genius to work out the Iranians don’t seem overly anxious about upsetting the US at the moment. This maybe a risky strategy but when you have a US president who stepped back from responding to the drone attack, who’s support base is predominantly isolationist (with an election not too far away), who wants to suppress oil price, who styles himself as a ‘deal maker’ and who has just sacked his hawkish NSA maybe the Iranians just believe they have him sussed. If they can make him look weak through a failure to respond or eventually provoke him to sanction a military response, then who wins out? Either way there is a possibility that Trump’s isolationist but nationalistic support base may turn against him and then guess who wins the next presidential election. I wonder why Iran would wish to see another Obama back in charge?
Why do you question Iran’s presence in such countries as Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen when they actually seem quite proud of the fact?
Fair enough GK :-)
DrQu,
OK, it's a bit off-topic, but this is an O&G share after all, so such stuff is pertinant.
"Why do you question Iran’s presence in such countries as Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen when they actually seem quite proud of the fact?"
That's an interesting question. One which seemingly many people appear to ignore. I don't know if you're familiar with that great old board game, 'Risk'. But if you have one, maybe it's time to drag it out of the cupboard and study the thing. Because Iran seems to have the KSA halfway 'encircled', partly with the tacit support of Russia (militarily) and China (diplomatically). This of course puts a certain sort of 'pressure' on the USA, and despite the presence of that nation's naval might in the area, the board-game usually shows that if one holds N.America, keeping hold of a bit of the Middle East can be difficult. Especially if one's trying to hem onself in with walls along the Mexican border and consolidate one's position of 'making America great again', although that particular gimmick doesn't figure in Risk.
Plus things like Vietnam and Afghanistan have rather dulled the American Joe Sixpack's taste for waging war at a distance. Iraq in the early eighties notwithstanding.
Interesting times.
Remember the phrase Hurricane Energy bandied about two or three years ago about the potential 'strategic importance' of finds such as the company has on Rona Ridge? It doesn't get much mention of late, but shouldn't be forgotten. Plus Lancaster (and now Lincoln) give light, sweet crude. Unlike the heavy crud which constitues the major production from the KSA.
***
" Iraq in the early eighties"
I meant nineties, of course...
I need to check this game out AD - the name sounds familiar but I can’t recall ever playing it - does sound right up my street though.
As you say off topic but I could not understand why a poster would be questioning Iran’s presence/influence in certain countries in the region when even Iran does not.
I agree anything that can make the UK less dependent on this enduring powder keg of a region can only be a good thing. It will also be a pretty good thing for us guys as well if we get the right numbers - assuming neither the SNP or labour get an opportunity to get their grubby mitts on our oil first.