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UPDATE: #COPL set timeline for Q2/Q3 Nigeria drilling programme
RESULTS: IFA led wealth managers AFH Financial results show strong growth


Expert Blogs


Shant

Shant primarily covers the G10 FX majors and analysis on the rates and curren... More



Latest Entries:

15
FEB

Don't be fooled by the 'trade deal' hype. China growth has peaked.

While market narratives continue to drive short term sentiment, asset classes taken in the broader context continue to highlight the unease within the investor psyche and this latter point is a much-underestimated theme which I  return and will return to every time.   I again mention (every time it seems!) the unwavering demand for the traditional safe havens, with Gold as yet still the notable store of tangible assets when investors run for the hills.  At a time when we are also seeing the correlation with a strong Dollar also going against the grain, this should give you an idea as to what the underlying sentiment is out there - protection required.  


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14
FEB

UK growth weaker than expected in Q4 - temporary or deep-rooted?

Looking across this week's data releases which centred around the growth figures for Q4 (on Monday), it was clear to see that with the level of headwinds circling UK Plc have undoubtedly left their mark.  Naturally, everyone will point to the uncertainty over Brexit, and even the ardent of optimists could not have predicted the degree of procrastination and can-kicking which has and continues to test the support of Theresa May's allies. 


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8
FEB

Early wobbles in the risk mood - China returns next week

Early wobbles in the risk mood - China returns next week


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6
FEB

Can the BoE offer any slivers of hope for UK stocks?

This Thursday sees the BoE deliver its latest assessment on the economy as well as its monetary policy decision - the latter clearly unlikely to change in the current environment.  As it stands, we are heading towards the 29 March deadline with no withdrawal deal in place, though alongside the central bank meeting, Theresa May will be in Brussels trying to get changes to the Irish backstop which has rendered the current EU deal dead in the water as yet. 


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Rajan Dhall

Rajan currently serves as a Technical Analyst & Expansion Manager for Share View... More


Latest Entries:

12
FEB

Debenhams hanging on - but at least this is good news

News this morning broke that Debenhams have managed to secure a GBP 40mln loan facility with its existing lenders. Let's not forget that the company still has a net debt of GBP 286mln and there has to be a sustainable plan to pay this down. Group like-for-like sales for the 6 weeks to 5 January fell by 3.4%, with UK sales down 3.6%.


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8
FEB

FTSE 100 Technical Analysis

Interesting times for the equity markets at the moment. Issues include German, British and Australian downgrades to growth. An economic slowdown in China, although they are throwing the kitchen sink at stimulating the markets. I have pointed out some of the key technical levels on long, medium and short term charts. Lastly, soon enough we will be looking at news from the US-China trade deal which will have a significant impact on global growth. With this in mind managing risk is key and that is the main use for the technical levels on the charts.


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5
FEB

Barrat Developments - Will the London slowdown hit the UK's largest home-builder

The housing sector is struggling at the moment with margins and the fallout from the nations capital of London. More recently it seems the housing sector has been buoyant about the governments wait and see approach to Brexit. Kicking the can down the road has provided some stability when it seemed like the chances of a harder Brexit were getting higher. Now according to some financial media sources, the chances of a hard Brexit are around 15%. Help to buy is also in its final stages and the market will be looking to price out the change and check the implications this might have on the company. Lastly, the dividends paid by the Co. are supportive, Barratt paid out £435m last time out


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31
JAN

Shell say they will keep spending inline despite profits growing.

Shares in the company have risen around 4% this morning after a stellar report. Profits from the oil giant gushed by more than a third to their highest since 2014 at $21.4 billion for 2018. Q4 adjusted profit came in at $5.69 billion vs expectations of $5.39 billion. Obviously, the company benefitted from a higher average oil price but they have also shown discipline in reducing debt by controlling CAPEX. Elsewhere, Shell are set to commence their third trance of share buybacks which also affects the supply-demand balance of shares in the marketplace pushing prices higher. 


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Reflect & Prepare

Reflect & Prepare

... More


Latest Entries:

8
FEB

Reflect & Prepare

Not too much for US markets to digest this week other than the established themes from the prior week.  The Fed is taking a less hawkish stance on rates and is open to resuming reinvestments on the balance sheet, and the markets have taken well to this as the recovery has continued for the most part of the week.  However, when president Trump confirmed that he will not be having any discussions with Chinese premier Xi ahead of the 01 March deadline, we saw risk sentiment sour again, with the Wall Street indices backing away from their cycle highs in unison.  


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1
FEB

Reflect & Prepare

It was a busy week in the US, with a number of key events which all fed through to a more positive backdrop for the Wall St indices. A Chinese delegation of trade representatives led by vice premier Liu travelled to Washington to resume talks with the US, and despite any concrete decisions likely at this stage, both sides reported good progress in the negotiations.  Indeed, president Trump announced that no deal would be agreed until he and premier Xi meet later in Feb.  


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25
JAN

Reflect & Prepare

The main talking points in the US revolve around the government shutdown and the trade talks with China.  In the latter case, it is hard to get a handle on the mood as various officials and advisers in the Trump administration seem to have differing views on the state of progress. 


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18
JAN

Reflect & Prepare

These are relatively quiet times in the US, and with a capricious president at the helm, it is perhaps eerily quiet in that respect.  Nevertheless, markets have been left in limbo this week, trading off the relief from a Fed who has finally retreated into a neutral stance and stands ready to show some patience on further tightening for fear of having taken their normalisation process as far as it can go.  We have a pause until the middle of the year at the least it seems and this has fed into steady gains on Wall St stocks which continue to hit post fallout highs albeit way off levels seen earlier last year.


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David Harbage

David recently retired, after more than 37 years working in the asset management... More


Latest Entries:

6
FEB

Two months on - the fog may be lifting

The author last blogged two months ago and flagged the geo-political concerns which were depressing investor sentiment at the time, as well as proscribing common sense ‘medicine’ prompted by forty years’ experience of financial markets. What has changed since the beginning of December to encourage an easing in fear and encourage investors to increase their appetite for risk assets? To answer that question, let’s revisit the previous blog – whose title, ‘The short view…..’ indicated a focus on current issues, whilst mindful that most readers will be private individuals with the longer term perspective appropriate to investors in company shares - and highlight any changes with additional comment.


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3
DEC

The short view - Fog may get worse

The immediate outlook for UK equity is clouded by uncertainty amid the potential for seriously negative news for businesses. Owners of stock market listed companies should always be taking the longer term view – with a minimum retention period of five years or ten years, but perhaps more probably ‘an indefinite, foreseeable future’ should be considered to be an appropriate time horizon. However, on an occasional basis (say once in a decade), a major event will present itself worthy of investors’ special attention. The current domestic political landscape, featuring Brexit and its consequences, is one such event.


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7
NOV

Directors in the news - but does it matter?

Trading updates today from two of the UK’s largest new home builders, Persimmon and Redrow, were accompanied by news of changes in the management board of each company. At the former, chief executive officer (CEO) Jeff Fairburn was ‘shown the door’ and leaves the company at the end of the year, while Steve Morgan, the chairman of the FTSE250 index constituent, has announced his retirement as at 31 March 2019.


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30
OCT

Immediate thoughts on the Budget

The author does not intend to deliberate over the detail in the Chancellor’s statement – the reader can peruse websites and newspapers for the fine detail on the issues that interest them – but rather provide a perspective from a stock market investor’s perspective.


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Ranjeet Singh

Ranjeet Singh, the CEO of FCA regulated stock broking firm, London Stone Securit... More


Latest Entries:

29
JAN

What's better? - Funds or Shares?

There has been a lot of talk recently about funds and their usefulness in a bear market. After all, when things are slowing down and the stock market is falling in value, the idea that a fund will somehow do better than an individual share is quite frankly a nonsensical argument.


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23
JAN

The 2019 Crypto Come-Back

I was milling around in Harrods yesterday not because I had any intention to buy anything but because my better half loves that shop. Thankfully she loves to window shop more than actually buy anything which is just well for me. In fact, I hate shopping and I am as far removed from being a fan of shopping as one could probably be.


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7
JAN

2019 could be a fantastic year for Investors - even if the stock market crashes

…and welcome back. Wow, doesn’t time to fly so quickly. We are already into the 2nd week of January of the new year and 2018 is all but a distant memory. So how was your Christmas and New Year? Good, I’m glad to hear that…now let’s continue with that wonderful warm, fuzzy feeling of joy and happiness and make 2019 fantastic too.


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17
DEC

Where's Santa when you need him?

After months of bleating from yours truly about the impending stock market crash, it seems that the business newspapers and financial press have finally caught up with what the City has been predicting for some time. This comes as no surprise to me as the financial news is always at least 3 months behind the true economic picture and at least 6 months behind the true stock market picture. This is just the way it is and has been for as long as I can remember.


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Malcy

Fresh Industry Comment!

... More


Latest Entries:

10
DEC

Oil price, Amerisur, Coro, Range, Aminex, Jadestone And finally...

Well it was at least a deal and one that markets liked, just about. Closing prices were well off the top showing that even 1.2m b/d off the market is no guaranty of returning to recent price levels. It looks like the Saudis will take most of the pain but at least Russia is inside the tent and not outside, so to speak.


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3
DEC

Oil price, Reabold, DGO, Lekoil And finally?

Friday was listless, no news had started to come out of G20 so no positions were taken as a result. All is different this morning though as risk is being taken off in most markets. This is for two reasons, firstly there was a better meeting between President Trump and the Chinese delegation than had been expected, resulting in a 90 day postponement of the latest tariff increases and optimism for the future.


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28
NOV

President Energy, Pantheon Resources, Eco Atlantic

President has announced the completion of the acquisition of interests in the Rio Negro Province in Argentina. The purchase price is $9.9m of which $8.7m was paid yesterday the rest to be paid in 12 months time from operational cash flow. This has been financed partly through an additional $4m bank facility and $4m additional loan from IYA, owned by Peter Levine.


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21
NOV




Eric Chalker

Eric retired from running his business in 2001 and thatís when he became an inve... More


Latest Entries:

12
SEP

Audit reporting : time to take control

Two months ago, I wrote here that “current audit practice is valueless” (27th Jul 2018).   This is the lesson of Carillion, which should never be forgotten.  KPMG certified as “true and fair” its last published accounts, showing shareholder value (total equity) at £730m, but just over four months later the company wrote off £845m of its certified but intangible assets.  Since then, Carillion has been called the canary in the coal mine, so beware.


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24
AUG

Was it wrong to worry?

  A year ago, I wrote an article (“An insistent drumbeat…..” 25th Aug 2017) noting a dozen major threats to share prices and discussed how to react.  Since then, stock markets have actually risen.  The FTSE 100 now stands at 7563, up 2.4 per cent in 12 months.  The FTSE 250 is 20665, up 4.7 per cent, the Small Cap is 5842 (up 2.9 per cent) and the AIM All-Share is 1093 (up 9.0 per cent).  It therefore seems fair, on this public platform, to question whether I was wrong to write what I did.


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16
AUG

Having the rug pulled out.

Infrastructure funds took a hammering last autumn, when the possibility of a Corbyn Labour government was seen to threaten punitive nationalisation of their assets.  Many income seeking private investors might be worried about this, but others might not, so it’s a matter of choice.  Except for those in the John Laing Infrastructure Fund, though, whose choice has been made for them.


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3
AUG

The Feeble Financial Reporting Council

 In 7 years of dealing with the FRC on behalf of the UK Shareholders’ Association, it was at best a disappointment.  Over time, I came to see it as wholly unhelpful to the needs of private investors and even hostile to them.  Now, at the request of the government, it is being examined by Sir John Kingman.


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Morning Shot

Morning Shot

... More


Latest Entries:

6
SEP

Dixons Carphone - Revenue flat but there is no more bad news!

The Co. today released their latest trading report and it seems they may have steadied the ship somewhat. The market where looking to see if there was another profit warning and it didn't come. It's no secret that the retail market has been struggling and the Co. has started to move away from the struggling phones business. Here are the highlights from the report:


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25
MAY

Morning Shot

Indices traded in a subdued fashion in the states, the underperformer was the Dow down 0.30%. This negative sentiment carried through to the Shanghai Comp. and the ASX but the Nikkei is higher overnight 0.12%. The main theme today still seems to the the Kim and Trump meeting (cancellation) and comments.


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24
MAY

Morning Shot

The US markets traded in the black yesterday with the Nasdaq outperforming up 0.64%. In the Asia Pac region the Nikkei and Shanghai Comp. were hit by possible auto tariffs and threats of more Russian sanctions. The ASX was the outperformer up 0.08% as commodities held up.


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23
MAY

Morning Shot

The US indices closed negative yesterday as U.S. President Donald Trump tempered optimism over progress made so far in trade talks between China and the States. The negative sentiment carried into the Asia Pac area and the the Shanghai Comp. was the underperformer down 1.19%, the Nikkei 225 (-1.16%) and ASX (-0.09%) also traded subdued. 


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London South East

Videos from live events and conferences, as well as exclusive interviews... More



Latest Entries:

29
MAY

Oil price, Range Resources, Echo Energy, Erratum, And finally...

WTI $67.88 -$2.83, Brent $76.44 -$2.35, Diff -$8.56 +48c, NG $2.94 n/c


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Tom Britton

Born in Los Angeles, Tom moved to the UK to play football and after three fairly... More


Latest Entries:

23
MAR

As simple as do re mi, EIS, VCT

When it comes to tax-efficient investing, there’s a lot of debate going on between the merits of VCTs (Venture Capital Trusts) and EIS (Enterprise Investment Scheme) funds. For those familiar with neither, I’ve put together a bit of a comparison below before going into the numbers. For those that know which offers what when, feel free to skip the first table.


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14
NOV

Key questions to ask when considering investing in a share placement

While there is money to be made from investing in share placements, there are also a lot of associated risks if you don’t know what to look for. Below, I’ve highlighted some of the key questions you should answer before deciding to invest in any company and business.


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8
NOV

The Main Players in Secondary Share Placements

Beyond the company, who is, of course, the star of the show, there are a number of key players working behind the scenes to ensure a placement comes off smoothly. Given you might not be aware of just how many are involved in the process I thought I’d give you a look at who else is involved in the process.


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26
OCT

The lowdown on Private Placements

Secondary offerings -  What you need to know: A secondary offering occurs with the issuing of new equity for a company that is already publicly traded on a market. Secondary offerings are often referred to as share placings, placements or ‘seasoned offerings’ and are typically used to attract new investors into a company.


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