West.brom 6.15% Regulatory News (WBS)

West Bromwich Building Society

Announcement of half-year results for the six months to 30 September 2023

Today the West Brom announces its half-year results for the six months to 30 September 2023.

· New lending applications of £945m (6 months to 30 September 2022: £609m), with completions of £458m up 66% year on year (6 months to 30 September 2022: £276m) reflecting our focus on supporting people into home ownership. Overall, net lending for owner occupiers strengthened to £161.8m, contributing to growth in the mortgage book.

· Lending for first-time buyers represented 62% of lending for home purchase (30 September 2022: 68%) with 1,398 first-time buyers supported during the period (30 September 2022: 711).

· Maintained our Standard Variable Rate (SVR) well below the industry average through the period. For a borrower at the West Brom, this equates to a saving of circa £1,600 a year for each £100,000 borrowed compared with an average market SVR of 8.09%1.

· Savers rewarded with rates that were on average, by the end of the six months, almost one and a half times the average rates paid by the market2 (30 September 2022: two and a half times) equivalent to a member benefit of £39.1m (2022/23: £25.5m).

· Capital position remains strong with the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET 1) capital ratio at 18.5% (31 March 2023: 18.7%), giving capacity for the buyback of expensive Tier 2 subordinated debt which will reduce the Society's interest costs going forward by £2.2m per annum.

· Statutory profit before tax of £13.6m (30 September 2022: £18.1m); excluding the cost of the buyback of Tier 2 subordinated debt (£5.1m), profit before tax ended the period at £18.7m. This was driven by strong net interest income which outweighed the impact of lower fair value gains and a reduction in the value of investment properties.

· Consistently strong feedback, with customer satisfaction and a Net Promoter Score®3 unchanged at 95% and +74 respectively. Shortlisted for the 'First-time Mortgage Buyers' Choice' award and the 'High Street Mortgage Provider of the Year' awards at the Moneyfacts Consumer Awards 2024.

· Reached the significant milestone of £1 million raised for Birmingham Children's Hospital, the vast majority of which was raised through the generosity of our members over the last 16 years via our Red Balloon Appeal account.

1 Average market revert rate sourced from Moneyfacts October 2023

2 Average market rates sourced from Bank of England Bankstats table A6.1

3 Net Promoter Score and NPS are trademarks of Satmetrix Systems, Inc., Bain & Company, Inc., and Fred Reichheld.

Jonathan Westhoff, Chief Executive Officer, commented:

"We're pleased to report another strong performance, despite the wider economic challenges that have persisted over the last six months. Stubbornly high inflation and volatility surrounding interest rates have created pressures within the market, throughout which we are proud to have supported our borrowers, whilst also ensuring our saving members receive excellent value.

Rather than slowing down throughout this period of instability, we have increased our activity, invested further in our people and supported even more people on their route into home ownership. Indeed, September saw us record our biggest ever month of mortgage applications and, for our savers, over the six month period we have maintained rates one and a half times the market average2, rewarding them with an additional £39.1m of interest (30 September 2022: £25.5m).

At the core of our business is our desire to help first-time buyers into their own home (and remain there), and we're pleased to have supported 1,398 people purchase their own home this half year (30 September 2022: 711). For our existing members, we continue to ensure that the rates we offer them are at least as good value as those offered to new customers, and we have maintained the average Standard Variable Rate (SVR) paid by our borrowers well below the industry average through the period.

In a particularly active savings market, we are continuing to reward savers with good value products. Over the six months ended 30 September 2023 we've welcomed 3,372 new savers to the Society, an increase of 21% on the same period last year.

We expect the market to remain uncertain for some time, as the elevated cost of living continues to impact the economy. A combination of our strong financial position and our overarching Purpose to help people own a home and save for the future, will guide us in supporting existing and future members through these unpredictable times."

To read the full interim report, visit www.westbrom.co.uk

ENDS

2 Average market rates sourced from Bank of England Bankstats table A6.1

For more information, please contact:

Elli Gould

Corporate Communications Manager - the West Brom

elli.gould@westbrom.co.uk

07890 959 685

Notes to editors

About the West Brom

The West Brom is the UK's seventh largest building society and is a leading provider of financial services. Proudly independent, the West Brom is owned by and run for the benefit of its members.

Since its foundation in 1849, the West Brom's fundamental principles have been, and remain, to offer people the opportunity to buy their own homes and save for the future.

West Bromwich Building Society

Condensed consolidated

half-yearly financial information

30 September 2023

Introduction

We're pleased to report another strong performance, despite the wider economic challenges that have persisted over the last six months. Stubbornly high inflation and volatility surrounding interest rates have created pressures within the market, throughout which we are proud to have supported our borrowers, whilst also ensuring our saving members receive excellent value.

Rather than slowing down throughout this period of instability, we have increased our activity, invested further in our colleagues and supported even more people on their route into home ownership. Indeed, September saw us record our biggest ever month of mortgage applications and, for our savers, over the six month period we have maintained rates at almost one and a half times the market average2, rewarding them with an additional £39.1m of interest (30 September 2022: £25.5m).

We're proud that we have not allowed the wider outlook to stand in the way of providing our members with the support that they need. During times of uncertainty, it can be easy to retract and reduce business activity, however we know that what's needed is, in fact, the opposite. Today's environment means there are now even more people who need extra support on their journey into home ownership, or with affording their mortgage payments, and we are ready for those that need our help.

Our Purpose-led activities

Consumer Duty and Mortgage Charter

The recent introduction of the new Consumer Duty regulation in July shows the level of importance that has been placed on the financial services sector to support overall financial wellbeing. As a mutual, this mindset has always been at the West Brom's core and whilst we welcome the new regulation, we will always aim to operate beyond what is a minimum standard.

This is also evidenced through our signing of the Government's Mortgage Charter. The Charter sets out clear commitments to banks and building societies to support borrowers during the current financial climate, yet we have already introduced significant and tangible support for any of our borrowers who may need it, including proactively contacting customers who may need our support and, where appropriate, providing referrals to independent debt advice charities. We understand that customers in arrears are typically more likely to be financially vulnerable and, therefore, we do not believe in compounding this vulnerability with additional charges which is why, unlike the vast majority of lenders, we do not charge arrears fees.

2 Average market rates sourced from Bank of England Bankstats table A6.1

Our transformation for the future

We are continuing to invest heavily in our technology, our colleagues and our brand, as we embark on a large-scale transformation that spans our entire business. Ensuring our members have the ability to access our services in whichever way they desire, whether that be through branch or online, is incredibly important to us and we're working hard to modernise all of our channels for the future. As the needs of our members evolve, it is crucial for us to grow with them, and this transformation will be fundamental in allowing us to serve even more people in the years ahead. 

Product update

Through the first half of the year we have continued to deliver our Purpose by supporting an increasing number of borrowers into their own home.

We've delivered £458 million of new lending, up 66% on the same period last year, with a 76% increase in lending to owner occupiers.

At the core of our business is our desire to help first-time buyers into their own home (and remain there), and we're pleased to have supported 1,398 people purchase their own home this half year (30 September 2022: 711). Included within this is £53m of lending to shared ownership schemes (up 130% on the same period last year), an option that is becoming ever more pertinent in helping borrowers access an increasingly unaffordable market.

For our existing members, we continue to ensure that the rates we offer them are at least as good value as those offered to new customers, and we have maintained the average Standard Variable Rate (SVR) paid by our borrowers well below the industry average through the period. For a borrower at the West Brom, this equates to a saving of circa £1,600 a year for each £100,000 borrowed compared with an average market SVR of 8.09%1.

In a particularly active savings market, we are continuing to reward savers with good value products. Over the six months ended 30 September 2023 we've welcomed 3,372 new savers to the Society, an increase of 21% on the same period last year.

For our savers who want to benefit by locking in to higher interest rates, we have launched very competitively priced fixed rate bonds and ISAs whilst also launching a best buy 60-day notice product, which can act as a great compromise between allowing savers to take advantage of higher rates and having the freedom of accessing their money with advance notice should they need it.

This commitment to offering a range of competitive, good value savings products means that we have rewarded our savers with additional interest of £39.1m, through maintaining rates consistently above the equivalent average paid by the wider market.

1 Average market revert rate sourced from Moneyfacts October 2023

Building on our financial strength

We are pleased to report a strong set of financial results for the six months ended 30 September 2023, which is important as it ensures we have the strength to offer current and future members the ongoing benefits described above. We have maintained a healthy capital position, ending the period with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET 1) capital ratio of 18.5% (31 March 2023: 18.7%) which maintains the Society's financial resilience and supports our continued ability to undertake the transformational investment in our future detailed above.

Regulatory capital resources

We ended the period with a profit before tax of £13.6m (30 September 2022: £18.1m). Excluding the one-off cost associated with the buyback of Tier 2 subordinated debt of £5.1m, profit before tax would have ended the period at £18.7m, a modest increase on the prior year. Strong net interest income of £53.9m (30 September 2022: £36.2m) supported this growth offsetting adverse swings on fair value gains and losses on revaluation of our investment property portfolio. Our increased new lending, and a strong proposition to retain existing borrowers, has seen net lending of £80.6m achieved in the period to 30 September 2023 (30 September 2022: £-278.1m) and £161.8m of net lending to owner occupiers (30 September 2022: £-197.1m).

The rising interest rate environment, after over a decade of ultra low rates, meant that after the actions we have taken to substantially increase rates on offer to our savers, the Net Interest Margin (NIM) rose to 1.90% (30 September 2022: 1.21%). As others follow our actions for savers, we expect to experience growing competition in the savings market.

The interim valuation for the West Brom Homes portfolio indicates a reduction in the value of our portfolio of rental properties of £2.5m (30 September 2022: gain of £5.9m). Whilst house prices have trended downwards in the early part of the year, the UK housing market (and our investment portfolio) has been more resilient than anticipated, with some regional indices reporting small gains recently.

Administrative expenses are unchanged at £27.8m (30 September 2022: £27.8m). However, adjusted for material one-off items, administrative expenses increased by circa £2.4m (9.5%). The underlying increase is primarily driven by increased professional costs incurred in supporting the delivery of our transformation agenda combined with inflationary pressures.

The legacy Commercial lending book has reduced to £230m (31 March 2023: £234m); net of provisions the book has reduced to £143.8m (31 March 2023: £155.0m) representing our continued efforts towards winding down this portfolio. Overall, commercial provision charge of £5.9m (£7.6m provision charge less £1.7m gain on derivatives used to provide economic hedges against movements in provisions on commercial loans, shown within fair value gains) has fallen slightly from £8.3m in the equivalent period last year (£17.3m provision charge less £9.0m fair value gain). This charge reflects the impact of worsening macroeconomic assumptions, together with a more pessimistic assessment of certain exposures, particularly in the retail sector, where recent market activity has had an impact on expected future performance.

Fair value gains of £0.7m on derivatives (which is net of £1.7m gain from commercial provision hedges as noted above) reduced from £17.6m (including a gain of £9.0m on commercial provision hedges). Derivatives are used to hedge against movements in interest rates and benefitted in the previous year from rising Bank Rate expectations.The exposure to credit losses on residential loans has resulted in a charge of £1.1m (30 September 2022: release of £0.5m). The charge is driven by a modest reduction in house prices together with more extensive post model adjustments to allow for risks posed by the cost of living crisis and uncertainty in property valuations in a volatile market.

Group arrears stood at 0.73% (31 March 2023: 0.52%) which compares favourably against the UK finance average of 0.84%4 (31 March 2023: 0.71%). The increase in arrears is driven by the legacy buy to let portfolio, which tracks Bank Rate meaning payments have risen sharply as the rate has increased. Arrears on the owner occupied book stood at 0.54% (31 March 2023: 0.52%) and on the buy to let book were 1.56% (31 March 2023: 0.82%).

During the period, the Society purchased £20.4m of its Subordinated Tier 2 Notes resulting in a cost, including the write down of unamortised issuance costs (£0.6m), of £5.1m. Whilst this results in a charge in this period, this will save £2.2m of interest cost per annum going forwards. Following the partial purchase and cancellation, £2.1m of the notes remain outstanding.

4 UK Finance is a trade association for the UK banking and financial services sector

Supporting our colleagues and communities

In 1849 we were set up to help create a fairer society, and our commitment to this still burns to this day. However, it's fair to say that what's needed to support our colleagues and communities has certainly changed over this time, and we always look to adapt our approach in response to the various challenges that come our way. In October 2023, we published our first Impact Report, 'Building a Fairer Future' (Impact Report | the West Brom) which details the positive impact we're making on our members, communities, colleagues and the environment. Some of these activities are summarised below. 

The cost of living crisis has meant that many people, including our colleagues, are feeling the pinch, and so supporting the financial wellbeing of our people has been equally paramount. We were delighted to win the 'Beyond the Living Wage' award this year, an accolade which recognises businesses that hold the highest standard of employment pay practices, going above and beyond the basics of the Living Wage accreditation.

Our focus on supporting our colleagues to be their full self at work is unwavering, and our ongoing work across equity, inclusion and diversity (ED&I) is embedded throughout the Society which includes providing equal employment opportunities for everyone, regardless of their background. As a Disability Confident Leader we hosted a recruitment event for students with disabilities from Queen Alexandra College in Birmingham, one of a number of schools and organisations we have partnered with to provide support in this area. We have also participated in the recent audit for the Race at Work charter, gaining a deeper understanding of what we can do as an organisation to ensure we are fully inclusive in everything we aim to achieve.

We were also incredibly proud to reach the significant milestone of £1 million raised for Birmingham Children's Hospital, the vast majority of which was raised through the generosity of our members over the last 16 years via our Red Balloon Appeal account. The support we provide to our charitable partners is hugely important to us and we are also very pleased to share that a plot of land has been confirmed in Birmingham city centre for the Barnardo's Gap Homes initiative, a project we have supported since 2021 to provide purpose-built housing for young people leaving the care system.

This summer also saw us open the doors at our replica branch, albeit with a difference. Our original Cape Hill branch in Smethwick has now opened at the Black Country Living Museum's new Forging Ahead development, the Museum's most ambitious development since 1978, which demonstrates what life was like in the 1940s, 50s and 60s. This replica branch at the Museum is set in 1949, our centenary year, and as well as being a great reminder of what life was like during this period, we will also be using the branch as an interactive learning space to engage with school children, teaching them about the value of money and the importance of good money management.

Principal risks and uncertainties The Society recognises that effective risk management is essential to achieving our objectives in an operating environment where the nature of the threats is continually evolving.

This report provides an update on the principal risks and uncertainties reported on pages 34 to 47 of the 2022/23 Annual Report and Accounts.

Principal risks

To avoid repetition with the Annual Report and Accounts, we have chosen to focus on developments in certain risks during the first six months of the year.

Cyber Risk, previously a sub-set of Information Risk, has been elevated to a principal Board risk to recognise the increasing threats being reported by financial services firms and to reflect guidance provided to firms by the National Cyber Security Centre to enhance cyber security (prevent external threats penetrating Society systems) and cyber resilience (the Society's ability to protect from, detect, respond to and recover from a cyber attack) given the ongoing threats including those from foreign actors arising from geopolitical risk.

Business conditions and the economic environment

Geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on the global economy and this continued to be felt in the UK with higher inflation and Bank Rate increasing to a 15 year high of 5.25%. In the six month period, this has meant ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty with house prices falling, albeit by less than previously anticipated, and higher mortgage rates impacting affordability for those refinancing from lower rates. An increasing number of customers spend more than 30% of their income on mortgage payments and this squeeze on affordability is likely to continue to impact on housing transactions and mortgage approvals. As covered earlier, the Society has a clear focus on supporting any borrowers that find a change in their situation places pressure on their ability to meet their payment obligations. 

Credit risk

Notwithstanding the higher interest rates, mortgage arrears for owner occupiers has remained steady but an uplift has been observed within the legacy buy to let portfolio where most track the increasing Bank Rate, having experienced over a decade of very low cost borrowing. 

Our approach to supporting borrowers continues to be updated such that whilst it is reflective of the Financial Conduct Authority's Tailored Support Guidance and the Society is a signatory to the Mortgage Charter, the forbearance provided to customers remains beyond those minimum requirements. The Society is committed to work with its borrowers across a range of forbearance options to avoid possession wherever possible.

Reflecting these conditions the assumptions used in our IFRS9 provisioning have been updated to take account of borrower circumstances and ongoing economic uncertainty and, at 30 September 2023, our range of macroeconomic scenarios has also been updated. Our stress testing continues to reflect the broad range of outcomes we may see as the economic situation unfolds, including further house price falls and higher interest rates for longer. The retail exposures in the commercial lending portfolio are particularly susceptible to such shocks (demise of a High Street stalwart - Wilkos) although, as detailed already, the combination of provisions set aside and capital directly allocated to these exposures remains significant. At the period end, coverage against the retail sector exposures stood at 72.1% (30 September 2022: 69.7%) driven by higher provision levels as well as a minor reduction in balances.

Margin compression risk

Margin compression risk is the risk of margin squeeze caused by a relative increase in funding costs (largely variable rate retail funding) versus mortgage income.

During the first half of 2023 as rates on administered rate savings have risen significantly from historic lows, we have increased our proportion of fixed rate retail funding further, providing a natural hedge against fixed rate mortgage lending. This not only allows us to provide a better return for our members but also provides some resilience to margin compression.

Operational resilience and technology investment

The Society has remained operationally resilient and operated its Important Business Services within their associated Impact Tolerances. Planned testing of severe but plausible scenarios has continued and is evolving to meet the 2025 regulatory deadline. We have continued to operate our hybrid model and this has supported recruitment from a broader catchment to improve capacity and capability across the Society, including two members of the Executive Committee (Chief Operating Officer and Chief Customer Officer).

Outlook

We expect the market to remain uncertain for some time, as the elevated cost of living continues to impact the economy.

A combination of our strong financial position and our overarching Purpose to help people own a home and save for the future, will guide us in supporting existing and future members through these unpredictable times. 

Looking ahead, next year will see us reach a significant milestone as we celebrate 175 years of the West Brom. Not only will this offer us a chance to take pride in all we've achieved over that time, but will ensure we take stock and look ahead to how we can serve future generations of members for years to come.

Jonathan Westhoff

Chief Executive Officer

Forward-looking statements

Certain statements in this half-yearly report are forward-looking.  Although the West Brom believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to be an accurate reflection of actual results. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances that are beyond the control of the West Brom. As a result, the West Brom's actual future financial condition, business performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Due to such risks and uncertainties the West Brom cautions readers not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Condensed consolidated

half-yearly financial information

30 September 2023

Condensed consolidated half-yearly Income Statement

for the six months ended 30 September 2023

Condensed consolidated half-yearly Statement of Comprehensive Income

for the six months ended 30 September 2023

Condensed consolidated half-yearly Statement of Financial Position

at 30 September 2023

Condensed consolidated Statement of Changes in Members' Interests and Equity

for the six months ended 30 September 2023

Condensed consolidated half-yearly Statement of Cash Flows

for the six months ended 30 September 2023

For the purposes of the cash flow statement, cash and cash equivalents comprise the following balances with maturities of three months or less from the date of acquisition:

The Group is required to maintain certain mandatory balances with the Bank of England which, at 30 September 2023, amounted to £13.4m (30 September 2022: £15.0m and 31 March 2023: £14.0m). The movement in these balances is included within cash flows from operating activities.

The Group's loans and advances to credit institutions includes £nil (30 September 2022: £98.0m and 31 March 2023: £31.1m) of balances belonging to the Society's structured entities which are not available for general use by the Society.

Condensed consolidated half-yearly Statement of Cash Flows (continued)

for the six months ended 30 September 2023

Notes to condensed consolidated half-yearly financial information

for the six months ended 30 September 2023

1 General information

These half-yearly financial results do not constitute statutory accounts within the meaning of the Building Societies Act 1986. A copy of the statutory accounts for the year ended 31 March 2023 has been delivered to the Financial Conduct Authority and the relevant information in this report has been extracted from these statutory accounts. The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 March 2023 have been reported on by the Group's auditor and the report of the auditor was (i) unqualified, and (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the auditor drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report.

The consolidated half-yearly financial information for the six months to 30 September 2023 and 30 September 2022 is unaudited and has not been reviewed by the Group's auditor.

2 Basis of preparation 

This condensed consolidated half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 September 2023 has been prepared in accordance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority and in accordance with the UK adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting'). The half-yearly condensed consolidated financial report should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31 March 2023, which have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adopted pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1606/2002 as it applies in the European Union. 

3 Going concern and business viability statement 

Details of the Group's objectives, policies and processes for managing its exposure to risk are contained in the Risk Management Report of the 2022/23 Annual Report and Accounts. The Directors also include statements in the Directors' Report in respect of going concern and longer-term business viability on page 58 and 59 of the 2022/23 Annual Report and Accounts. 

The Directors have reviewed the latest plans and forecasts for the Group giving consideration to liquidity and capital adequacy. They are satisfied that the Group has adequate resources to meet both the normal demands of the business and the requirements which might arise in stressed circumstances for the next 12 months and that the longer-term business viability statement in the 2022/23 Annual Report and Accounts remains appropriate. Accordingly they continue to adopt the going concern basis in preparing these half-yearly financial results. 

4 Accounting policies

The accounting policies adopted by the Group in the consolidated half-yearly information are consistent with those disclosed in the Annual Report & Accounts for the year ended 31 March 2023 (details provided on page 98).

Critical accounting estimates and judgements in applying accounting policies

In the process of applying accounting policies, the Group makes various judgements, estimates and assumptions which affect the amounts recognised in the financial statements. Estimates and judgements are continually evaluated and are based on historical experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances.

For the half year accounts, tax has been charged on the statutory profit before tax at the UK standard rate of 25%. A full review of the tax position of the Society and its subsidiaries will be carried out at the year end date. The significant judgements in applying accounting policies and key sources of estimation uncertainty at 30 September 2023 are unchanged from those existing at 31 March 2023.

 5 Business segments

Operating segments are reported in accordance with the internal reporting provided to the Group Board (the chief operating decision maker), which is responsible for allocating resources to the reportable segments and assessing their performance.

The Group has three main business segments:

? Retail - incorporating residential lending, savings, investments and protection; 

? Commercial real estate - primarily representing loans for commercial property investment; and

? Property - a portfolio of residential properties for rent.

Central Group operations have been included in Retail and comprise risk management, finance, treasury services, human resources and computer services, none of which constitute a separately reportable segment.

There were no changes to reportable segments during the period.

Transactions between the business segments are carried out at arm's length. The revenue from external parties reported to the Group Board is measured in a manner consistent with that in the consolidated Income Statement.

Funds are ordinarily allocated between segments, resulting in funding cost transfers disclosed in inter-segment net interest income. Interest charged for these funds is based on the Group's cost of capital. Central administrative costs are also allocated between segments and are disclosed in inter-segment administrative expenses. There are no other material items of income or expense between the business segments.

The Group does not consider its operations to be cyclical or seasonal in nature.

6 Allowance for losses on loans and advances to customers

In accordance with IFRS 9, 'Financial instruments', forecasts of future economic conditions are integral to the Expected Credit Loss (ECL) calculations. At 30 September 2023, the Group modelled four forward-looking macroeconomic scenarios: central, upside, downside and severe with the respective probability weightings updated to those applied at 31 March 2023 following review. The Group's scenario weightings as at 30 September 2023 are 50% for the central scenario, 5% for the upside scenario, 30% for the downside scenario and 15% for the severe scenario (31 March 2023 and 30 September 2022: central scenario 60%, upside scenario 5%, downside scenario 25% and severe scenario 10%). Individual economic variables within the scenarios are regularly reviewed and updated to reflect the current economic outlook.

In addition to the scenario weightings and account-specific factors that impact cashflows, the key model assumption for commercial provisioning is considered to be the exit yield requirement, which is used to estimate the cash flows arising from realisation of the property values on sale. While interest rates also have a significant impact on the ECL, via the discount factor applied in the model, compensating economic hedge arrangements would substantially offset the movement in profit or loss terms with an opposing fair value movement. Compared with the central economic forecast, the exit yield requirement for each loan increases by 0.9% and 2.1% in the downside and severe scenarios respectively and reduces by 0.2% in the upside scenario. This compares to an average exit yield of 9%.

Presented below is the sensitivity to the total residential and commercial ECL provision arising from the application of 100% weighting to each scenario. 

*(increase in 10% weighting with a corresponding reduction in the central scenario).

The tables below analyse the movement in residential impairment provisions by IFRS 9 stage.