Last checked at 15 Jul 2015 07:00
City of London Investment Group PLC
15 July 2015
CITY OF LONDON INVESTMENT GROUP PLC
("City of London" or "the Group")
TRADING UPDATE
for the year to 30 June 2015
City of London (LSE: CLIG), a leading emerging markets asset management group, provides a trading update for its financial year ended 30 June 2015. The numbers that follow are all unaudited.
Funds under management were US$4.2 billion (£2.7 billion) at 30 June 2015 (2014: US$3.9 billion or £2.3 billion), representing an 8% increase in US$ terms and a 17% increase in GBP terms as a result of the cross rate moving from 1.71 to 1.57 over the period. Over the same period the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MXEF) fell by 5% in US$ terms.
For the year to 30 June 2015, City of London expects that pre-tax profits will be approximately £8.8 million (2014: £7.2 million, 13 months), and that profits after an anticipated tax charge of £2.3 million (26% of pre-tax profits) will be approximately £6.5 million (2014: profits of £5.2 million after a tax charge of £2.0 million, representing 28% of pre-tax profit). Basic and fully diluted earnings per share are expected to be 26.1p and 25.7p respectively (2014: 20.7p and 20.6p).
The Board is recommending a final dividend of 16p per share (2014: 16p). This would bring the total for the year to 30 June 2015 to 24p (2014: 24p), making cover 1.1 times earnings per share (2014: 0.86 times). As previously announced the Board's dividend policy is based around a cover of 1.2 times earnings on a rolling five year average. The proposed dividend is in-line with this policy.
Overheads for the year to 30 June 2015 are expected to be £9.4 million (2014: £10.3 million, 13 months) and the current monthly run-rate is slightly in excess of £0.8m.
Investment performance in the emerging markets closed-end fund (CEF) strategy remains strong, with first or second quartile results versus manager peers year to date in 2015. The present wide size-weighted average discount (SWAD) of c12-13% across client portfolios indicates value in the strategy. The investment approach adds value beyond this by exploiting volatility of the underlying discounts in the CEF universe, from which portfolios are constructed with their specific SWAD characteristics.
During the period, marketing efforts led to new inflows of $477 million in emerging market strategies, which were countered by outflows of $437 million as investor risk aversion rose due to ongoing volatility in global markets. Fundraising in the diversification products resulted in $255m of new mandates ($100m in Frontier Emerging Markets strategies, and $155m in Global Tactical Asset Allocation strategies) and outflows of $20 million.
As noted in the interim statement these wins will assist with efforts to raise the profile of our diversification CEF products with institutional consultants and plan sponsors. Diversification products now represent 8.5% of Group AUM, compared with 2% last year.
City of London Investment Group expects to announce final results along with the Accounts for the year to 30 June 2015 on 14 September 2015. The Company's Annual General Meeting date, and final dividend payment dates are expected to be 19 October 2015 and 30 October 2015 respectively. An Investor Day will be held after the Annual General Meeting on 19 October 2015. Details will be included within the Accounts.
As a result of increased volatility, Shareholders will see in the Template below that we have reduced our assumptions regarding net new money from mandates next year to $250 million for the emerging market strategy and an additional $250 million in diversification products. Subsequent to the year end, we are aware of new mandates of circa $35 million with deminimis redemptions. As a result of recent volatility we are reviewing our budget for 2015/2016; as shareholders would expect we will be monitoring costs closely as the year progresses. We will continue to update our web site www.citlon.co.uk for the most recent FUM on a monthly basis.
Please note that going forward we will not include an estimate for market growth within the Template.
Summary and unaudited trading update | ||
Year to 30 June 2015 | 13 months to 30 June 2014
| |
Funds under Management (at period end) | US$4.2bn | US$3.9bn
|
Turnover (plus investment income) | £25.4m | £24.4m
|
Administrative expenses, commission payable, and profit-share | £16.6m | £17.2m
|
Profit before tax | £8.8m | £7.2m
|
Profit after tax | £6.5m | £5.2m
|
Profit per share, basic | 26.1p | 20.7p
|
Profit per share, diluted | 25.7p | 20.6p
|
Financials - consolidated income statement | ||
£'000 | Year to 30 June 2015 | 13 months to 30 June 2014
|
Fee income | 25,356 | 24,215
|
Interest & other | 65 | 244
|
Commissions payable | (2,275) | (3,068)
|
Custody & Administration | (738) | (845)
|
Total net income | 22,408 | 20,546
|
Costs: | ||
Human resources | 6,250 | 6,559
|
Premises | 634 | 671
|
Communications & IT | 1,376 | 1,464
|
Business development | 499 | 529
|
General | 686 | 1,075
|
Total costs | 9,445 | 10,298
|
Operating profit | 12,963 | 10,248
|
Profit-share | 4,171 | 3,005
|
Pre-tax profit | 8,792 | 7,243
|
Tax | (2,302) | (2,043)
|
Post-tax profit | 6,490 | 5,200
|
Dividends (prior year final plus current period interim) | (5,960) | (6,031)
|
Retained/(Used) | 530 | (831) |
Template
Please see the attached graph which is based on the following assumptions and includes the estimated cost of a maintained dividend:
http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/0664T_1-2015-7-14.pdf
Assumptions:
- Starting point Current FuM (end June 2015)
- Net new money in 2015/2016 (straight-lined to June 2016):
emerging market strategies $250m
diversification strategies $250m
- Operating margin adjusted monthly for change in product mix and commission run-off
- Market growth: 0%
- Increase in overhead: 8%
- Corporation tax based on an estimated average rate of 25%
- Exchange rate assumed to be £1/$1.55 for entire period
- Number of CLIG Shares in issue (27.0m) less those held by the ESOP Trust (2.0m) as at 30 June 2015
This can also be found on our website at: http://www.citlon.co.uk/shareholders/announcements.php
For further information, please visit http://www.citlon.co.uk/ or contact:
Barry Olliff, CEO
City of London Investment Group PLC
Tel: 001 215 313 3774
Martin R Green
Canaccord Genuity Limited
Financial Adviser & Broker
Tel: +44 (0)20 7523 8000