Member Info for Yanar

Cashed in my Thorntons shares today; taking profit. I have been following this share for quite a while and still think there is some serious upside +50p easily. My reason for jumping ship is the looming fiscal cliff 'crisis' in the US. Too much uncertainty for me. I will be back. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/9759935/Markets-stumble-as-fiscal-cliff-vote-axed.html

This share is still looking strong, with further potential upside. Still waiting for results in December, although a number of posters have raised doubt that we may not see anything until Jan 13. Either way still one to keep hold on - with a potential to pass 50p if trading is good. As for hotel Chocolate, suggest you check their accounts at companies house, before people start to worry about potential competition. http://wck2.companieshouse.gov.uk//wcframe?name=accessCompanyInfo In my opinion, not a threat at all.

The number of shares out on loan i.e shorted, has fallen by almost 21% this week (data explorers). I'm assuming this is what is driving the price up at present. In that case, I would suggest there is further upside to this stock in the coming weeks/months since Shorters closing their position would suggest that good results are anticipated.

You will notice that the vast majority of sells yesterday were stop-losses, due to the price being temporary forced down, before recovering. Was this intentional or not - who knows? Update due out in a couple of weeks, then a further update in Jan. This is getting interesting.

Looks like it was a shorter's 'flash-crash' today, (see data explorers). Probably some trader with fat fingers who opened and then immediately closed a position, causing a few stop losses to trigger in the process. It recovered immediately after. Still looking pretty solid to me. Good luck.

Are we seeing the green shoots of a pre-Xmas breakout? Looks like a market maker is acquiring shares. Should show as a delayed buy over the next few days!

Cocoa prices are at $2,516 per tonne. You will see from the graph that the price is dropping again. http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=cocoa-beans Also read this report, suggesting a limited upside potential on futures. http://www.agrimoney.com/news/marex-cautious-on-cocoa-prices-despite-ic-unease--5218.html As for the trading statements, Thorntons have been actively making updates every couple of months, ever since the the crash and subsequent recovery. Since Christmas is the single biggest period of scrutiny, I think this will follow the trading update cycle of the past 12 month. Indeed, if you check the Thorntons Financial calendar on their web site, a number of updates provided this year were missing from their calendar. As QueenElvis rightly pointed out, when I was out by a few days on a number of occasions.

Cocoa prices are on their way down again. Thorntons are not discounting this year - so are going for profit....... And the Store at the Trafford centre in Manchester was absolutely packed out today, they had completely sold out of the Thornton continental advent calendars! I've been topping up over the last month on weakness. Interims are due out in just over three weeks. Check out the 12 month graph, it's not rocket science to see what's going to happen. Good luck everyone.

Trading update in just over 5 weeks (around the 3rd week of Dec). I think we will see a slow rise starting in about 3 weeks from now, similar to the past 3 occasions. Fill your boots at this price - price target is currently at 30p. Next update will be the big one to watch. My estimate is above 40p after this RNS.

I'm topping up every time the SP dips sub 31p.

Next trading update in 8 weeks will be the big one to watch. I think we are seeing signs of a breakout already! I truly believe that this will be circa 40p to 50p in the run up to this date and beyond, based on the last RNS and an emergence from the recent double dip recession. Cocoa prices are also on their way down again.... Down 11% in just under two months. Futures are also trending down. Excellent news for Thorntons bottom line.

Investec has issued a "hold" recommendation on THT.

So, I was just a week out with my RNS timings!. Nevertheless the RNS is positive. I think THT is definitely in the recovery phase now. One to hold on tight too.

Lets hope for a trading statement tomorrow then! I have noticed there has been a shift in the dynamic of this share. Previously it rose pre-RNS, then lost about 50% of it gains before the rising over the next RNS. The trend now appears to be that of rising through the RNS and maintaining gains. This is similar to two companies I followed a few years ago - TTG and VLX, who crashed spectacularly (lost 90% of their value) only to recover back in full. Their recovery strategy was very similar to that followed by Thorntons at present. Lets see what happens here.

Also watch out for the Trading Statement on Wednesday,

Link to the annual report. Very positive. http://investors.thorntons.co.uk/download/pdf/AnnualReport2012.pdf

You are quite correct. I retract my speculative comment. Just getting a bit carried away!

I think there is a good chance of another re-rating if the concession news comes through in the trading update RNS next Wednesday.

Another directors buy today. http://investors.thorntons.co.uk/news-item?item=1167258294436085

Trading update due out next Wednesday. Hopefully we will get news of the ClintonCard/Thornton concession stand reopening. I increased my holding today.