Member Info for y11-shx

Oil is about to break $55 ! Is it me or can’t anyone see this??

Elllllllll what sort of price are you forecasting for oil and where can you see the share price at?

The yield curve’s still flashing warning signs, oil looks undervalued but not immune to a final dip, and with the FTSE and global markets sitting at all-time highs, a pullback feels overdue. Waiting for some correction before putting money to work, patience pays.

I was just helping you guy out

I did put it all on GameStop it’s up 7.9 percent pre market 💰

Bots you obviously don’t understand the whole stock market thing. No shark holds for 100k when you can make that in a few trades without the price going nowhere. If I sold at 238 and bought back at 210 and sold again for 218 that’s over £40k in profit in a few weeks and the price is lower then it was when I sold and that doesn’t even include the profit from the fist buy before I sold at 238. You need to understand before you start to play the game.

Just put all your money on GameStop and wait a couple weeks then come back and buy harbour for 187 then sell day before ex dive for 229 and it really that simple

Never sell has sold lol. Oil is definitely under valued but the FTSE has just hit an all time high and will most likely pull back unless the obvious has changed, So will pull back all shares how ever under valued they maybe!

I agree sittingduck harbour is a bargain. I got slated when I sold at 238 and then I predicted it would drop below £2 and then got slated again. I was impatient when I bought at 209 but still got a good return. The next jump will be around the next ex div date which should be around 250 but between now and then plenty of time to by back cheaper then now.

I’ve been flipping this from the PMO days. It’s all profit now Random or not

Not really I sold at 238 just before the dividend and bought back at 210 how that a risk??

£8.5k not bad

Just sold my 118,495 shares 😢 buy back later today I think 🥳

Oil looks heavily undervalued against gold, the gold-to-oil ratio is near its highest since 2016, signalling the market’s pricing crude far too cheap. Historically, every time we’ve seen this setup, oil has rallied hard. If that trend repeats, $120 a barrel isn’t unrealistic once demand firms and supply tightens.

With gold above $4,000 and silver surging to $50, we could be entering the early stages of a new commodity supercycle. The gold-to-silver ratio has tightened to around 80, still historically high but signaling silver catching up, while the gold-to-oil ratio sits above 65 — showing oil remains extremely undervalued relative to precious metals. If this imbalance begins to unwind as central banks ease and global demand rebounds, oil could be the next major mover, with prices potentially climbing toward the $150–200 range in the years ahead.

Gold is real money — it always has been. Currencies lose value as more gets printed, but gold just exposes it. Oil is the same — a real asset with real demand. The only reason it looks cheap now is because it’s being held down. You can delay the truth, but you can’t change it — history always catches up.

Trump, Wall Street, and the Saudis may have the power to sway oil prices in the short term — they can turn the taps, move markets, and shift sentiment almost at will. But history proves they can only fight fundamentals for so long. The gold-to-oil ratio is now around 65:1, a level only seen once before — during the COVID-19 crash, when oil briefly went negative and demand collapsed. The difference today is that demand is rising and supply is near maximum. This kind of imbalance has never lasted long in history. Every time it’s happened, oil has surged violently higher to close the gap, not because of speculation, but because reality eventually forces the correction. They can delay it — but not stop it. History never lies.

History shows oil rarely stays undervalued for long. When similar setups occurred — 1973, 1979, 2008 — prices doubled or tripled within 1–3 years.

With gold at ~$4,000/oz and oil at ~$62, the gold-to-oil ratio of ~65:1 is more extreme than any time in history. If the ratio returns to its long-term average of ~20:1, oil could climb toward $150–$200/barrel.

Supply constraints are looming, demand continues to grow, and history never lies — extreme gold-to-oil ratios almost always correct. This combination strongly suggests that oil prices are set for a significant bullish move, potentially toward $150–$200 per barrel, as the market rebalances toward historical norms.

History and the gold-to-oil ratio suggest the most significant upward pressure will occur within 1–3 years, with a potential tripling from current levels.

The gold-to-oil ratio, which measures how many barrels of oil one ounce of gold can buy, is a key indicator of relative value in the commodities market. Historically, over the past 50 years, this ratio has averaged around 20:1, though it has experienced wide swings depending on economic conditions, geopolitical events, and supply-demand imbalances. As of October 2025, gold is ~$4,000 per ounce, oil is ~$62 per barrel, and the gold-to-oil ratio is ~65:1. This ratio is more than three times the historical average, highlighting that oil is extremely undervalued relative to gold. Such extremes are unusual and historically tend to correct over time.

How the ratio could return to normal

To bring the ratio back to the historical average of 20:1, there are a few theoretical scenarios:

1. Oil rises, gold remains flat – Oil would need to increase to $200 per barrel — more than three times the current price.

2. Gold falls, oil remains flat – Gold would have to drop to $1,240 per ounce, which is highly unlikely given gold’s role as a safe-haven asset and its recent bullish momentum.

3. A combination of both – For example, if oil rises to $125 per barrel, gold would still need to fall to ~$2,500 per ounce to normalize the ratio. Even this partial adjustment implies a significant surge in oil prices.

Most probable outcome

History shows that when the gold-to-oil ratio reaches extreme levels, oil prices tend to rise faster than gold falls. Gold is generally “sticky” during periods of uncertainty, whereas oil reacts more quickly to supply-demand imbalances, OPEC+ production decisions, and global economic trends. With gold at $4,000, the ratio suggests that oil is deeply undervalued, and a correction would likely come from a dramatic increase in oil prices, potentially toward $150–$200 per barrel. Factors supporting such a rise include ongoing supply constraints from OPEC+ and reduced spare capacity, limited U.S. shale growth or slower-than-expected production, rising demand in Asia and other emerging markets, and inventory management and strategic reserve replenishments.

Conclusion

The current gold-to-oil ratio is an extreme signal that oil is undervalued relative to gold. Unless there is an unprecedented collapse in gold prices, the most likely path for the market is a sharp surge in oil prices, potentially doubling or even tripling from current levels. This represents a strongly bullish outlook for oil in the medium term, highlighting both the undervaluation relative to gold and the potential for a substantial market correction driven by fundamental supply and demand dynamics.

What would Harbour Energy be worth $100 + oil ????????

If been able to read a graph is parallel universe then yes!