RE: Promotional activity2 Aug 2024 18:15
Salucchi: Thanks for the productive response. Even though you don't agree with me I am always open to criticism and other people's opinions. No PHD here - just a guy that grew up in the oil business environment. I've owned drilling rigs and participated as a non-operator in JV wells. I am currently invested with the infamous Marc Bruner in a private project in Wyoming - as some have mentioned he is quite the promoter - almost to a fault.
From my perspective, the Beetaloo is following the trajectory of many major oil discoveries. Initially I bought Philip’s story that we were going to drill 6-7 wells across the Beetaloo - prove up the formation's potential and aerial extent and then sell the asset. Sounded reasonable at the time but as we now know, several of those wells had issues and it was not until the SS1H well that the potential of the Beetaloo came though. Now we have our 'proof of concept' well and are moving on to the next step of initial development on what has now been defined as a 1.2 million acre deep formation that is over pressured. As of today, no one is going to pay us $4K an acre for a 500 meter well. We can all wish and hope for higher stock prices through promoting retail investors but that is not the long approach to Falcon's asset value. The ultimate price will be established with production and then companies will begin to see potential is what Falcon holds. No company is going to pay $1 - $2 Billion dollars for a roll of the dice - they are going to want to see proof of production and some sophisticated reservoir engineering studies, seismic, isopach maps, etc., etc. Interest will build in the Beetaloo and Falcon's value will continue to increase overtime. These fields start out small and if those wells prove up the acreage, then the bigger fish come in to them to be followed by even the bigger fish.
Falcon is not at the point of creating a must have asset at this time but IMO we are on the cusp of seeing some real value created. I am looking for US $.70 to US $1.00 per share by the end of next year (2025). If Falcon can continue past that date, we will continue to see our acreage value increase. I am repeating myself, but with the checkerboards being created by year end - and the SS2H and SS3H wells drilled/flowing, the dynamics of the Beetaloo Basin will start changing rapidly. Falcon is sitting in a sweet spot with its 22.5% interest in all acreage. When Sheffield starts his own drilling operations next year, IMO, he is going to come calling to purchase/merge Falcon's acreage in one or all three of his assigned blocks - he needs to put together 100% interest so he can cleanly farm-out and develop his own acreage. I suspect Falcon would be receptive to merging with Daly Waters - I know I would hold my hand up on that vote as it would continue to give me exposure to the Beetaloo's huge world class potential.
GLA