RE: Local NGO Lao'Hamutuk26 Apr 2024 17:06
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The Chuditch PSC expires next month and extending another year into 2024 will require the operator to commit to drilling an appraisal well, which could easily cost US$25 million to US$30 million, Robert Chambers, an APAC-focused upstream energy expert, told Energy News. Funding the drilling could prove challenging for Baron, so an ideal solution would be a farm-in partner, who could carry them through this period, added Chambers. Baron have set out several potential developments for Chuditch and the other prospects in the PSC. Commercialising the gas will require access to an LNG liquefaction facility, be this a floating LNG(FLNG) plant at the field, a new onshore LNG plant in East Timor, or the gaining of access to existing or expansion LNG trains in Darwin, such as Santos' Darwin LNG or Inpex's Ichthys LNG. Of these, the standalone FLNG solution is likely to present the quickest path to first gas, added Chambers. "Based on Baron's resource estimates, a standalone FLNG development around the 2 million tonnes per year (t/y) scale would certainly be commercial in today's LNG price environment," noted Chambers. Moreover, "the new government in Timor Leste is very focused on accelerating oil and gas development and understands the positive impact that the revenues could have on the country's economic future. Timor-Leste has seen positive signs, with a successful 2022 bid round seeing blocks awarded to Santos and Eni," he added. "It is likely that any investor would require experience in the LNG space and, ideally, the experience and patience to navigate the above-ground challenges. This would put companies such as Eni or INPEX into prime position. Santos could also be included on this list, but will likely be focused on solving their development challenges at Barossa. Other options could include PETRONAS for their FLNG expertise or the Chinese NOCs," said Chambers.