RE: Continental6 May 2023 10:19
Someone posted this on the other board which I thought was an excellent summary of where we are. Always seems like a waiting game but the timing of this raise under the circumstances has been very damaging.
PC01's suggestion of borrowing money some time ago when rates were rock bottom now looks like very wise words. You can easily see a major II retiring AK in favour of one of their chaps as a result of his poor decision making and having to stump up more cash. If that is the case and things genuinely are recovering these changes could be a good thing........
From the othe board:
After the missed expectations too many to mention , the CEO is probably stepping down in order to facilitate this fundraising
Whilst he is to remain a consultant to CAP-XX , it is interesting to note that he is still putting in £60/- of his own money into new placing shares so as to maintain his 2% shareholding . Being over 60 years old , and of a conservative nature , this is fairly significant , particularly as his last trade in CAP-XX shares was to sell 4.7m shares at 5.5p in August 2021 . Interestingly enough , both the Chairman and another long-term NED , also well over 60 years old , are also putting in £80/- of their own money into new placing shares , which is also significant because these two directors have been receiving shares instead of cash for their services to CAP-XX for a very long time
Another important placee is Canaccord , CAP-XX’s largest shareholder with , as of 2 days ago , 14.8% of the equity . Significantly , Canaccord is more than covering its corner in this placing , and will now be a 18% shareholder
There is little doubt that the above vote of confidence by leading players not only reflects the satisfactory trading background and the potential upside from CAP-XX's new product roadmap , but also a belief that CAP-XX has Tesla/Maxwell by the tail in its patent infringement case due to go to trial in July
On Allenby’s most recent forecasts for the year to June 2023 , CAP-XX’s revenue is expected to be A$4.9m , split A$1.6m in the first-half and A$3.3m in the second-half , and , given there is still 2 months of the second-half remaining , it is encouraging to hear CAP-XX confirm that the second-half recovery is on track . This should mean a second-half EBITDA loss of only A$0.2m against one of A$1m in the first-half . For June 2024 Allenby is forecasting revenue of A$7.9m and a positive EBITDA of A$0.34m . This is supported by an expanding sales pipeline , confirmed at US$71.6m pa in the placing RNS , and up from US$50m pa this time last year
CAP-XX’s post raise market cap is only £9.7m . This level reflects both the massive baggage of disappointment from the last several years but the uncertainty regarding litigation etc . By calendar year end we should hopefully be much the wiser .