RE: Market Makers11 Feb 2025 12:41
I know it may sound strange but I was going to thank them to allow me to buy ITM Power shares at these levels. Whilst we have a £135m confirmed order book, seeing the confidence of Dennis, I am not worried about the future anymore.
Talking about this order book, I am going to share a post from the other forum. I am hoping dear fellow user don't mind it.
It is a bit long, so there will be two parts. Here it is;
There was much discussion yesterday about ‘why such low sales when we have a £135m confirmed order book’.
Some thoughts on the matter:
Dennis told us the reasons during the presentation on two or three occasions. They are concerned with the accounting rules on large contract revenue recognition. You may recall Dennis mentioning it twice when referring to the past and current finance directors.
He also mentioned that more sales of Neptune units would increase the revenue expectations for next year. The reason is that Neptunes can be manufactured quickly, and he suggested that they be manufactured for as little as 12 weeks. In contrast, the big contracts, e.g. 200MW, can take 2-3 years from start to completion and customer acceptance.
A simple example. A Neptune order in January could be on the customer's site in April, tested in June, and finally accepted in July. At that point, ITM will submit the final stage payment invoice, and the whole contract revenue and profit can be recognised in the accounts. The accounting technical ‘rule’ is that the asset has been fully transferred to the new owner, and ITM has no further accounting liabilities. (This is not about warranty; that is a separate issue).
This is fine for rapid manufactured and delivered goods, however long term, multi-year contracts are a whole different ballgame. Why? First, a little history.
Previously, companies could invoice and declare part of contract profits pretty much as they liked. This allowed a firm to declare good earnings in year 1, inflating their published results, and by year three, with over-runs, etc, they would then publish a catastrophic loss. Hence, shareholders were being misled. To prevent such practices, accounting rules were changed on long-term contracts and continue to be updated as recently as 2024.