Traderman123....20 Oct 2016 09:19
Traderman123, you stated - "Sadly , I stick to my view that shareholders will be lifted out circa 6p".
It would be interesting to see how you derive that estimate?
As at 13 Sept the half yearly financial update to June stated - "Total assets at 30 June were £39.227 million (£32.719 million in 2015) and liabilities were £28.456 million (£25.219 million in 2015). Cash at 30 June was £0.108 million. After the period end, a further £2.0 million was raised through a share issue". -
In regards to your 6p assumption, a quick fag packet calculation -
£39.227 million assets - £28.456 million liabilities = £10.771million
Thus £10.771million/478,739,580 shares = 2.24p/share residual asset value.
Your 6p - 2.24p = 3.76p which is thus the valuation you place on the resource itself.
Given that the resource estimate is calculated conservatively at a "base case flat real" -10% discount @ $1.5billion (i.e. £1.22billion)
Thus your residual 3.76p resource estimate suggests it would be valued at £18million.
so £18million/£1.22billion x 100 = 1.47% of the in-ground value.
That suggests a discount of 98.53% be afforded to a prospective buyer if my calculation based on your 6p is correct?
We can speculate as much as we like & value is what a buyer would pay.... but I certainly would not be doing business with you any time soon and fortunately neither will the company!
Please correct my very basic short cut calculation if there is an error.
Care to quantify your 6p assumptions Traderman123???