RE: As they say in Star Wars...8 Feb 2017 12:38
Tozerk, it's a tough time for all concerned & understandably so. Of all the least likely probabilities, collusion doesn't fit the profile of the IDC and there is simply no way they'd place a country's entire future investment profile & Industry at risk in the eyes of global investors & financial markets.
As stated previously, restructuring requires all parties to "take a haircut" in some way or another. Laurelton (Tiffany) seem reasonably relaxed about pushing back repayments & as yet we don't know to what other extent they're required to restructure their loan. AMCU & Labour have reached agreement in principal and existing shareholders will be diluted in 1 form or another while making more cash available as per phase 1 & 2 funding requirements. Bondholders have agreed to a standstill until restructuring conclusion or later as may be required.
Although DCP is the largest creditor, the IDC is 2nd largest and they don't gain anything by forcing liquidation in the hope of recovering a fraction of their Rand investment. There are likely a number of options/items on the table i.e. Capitalised interest, repayment terms & commencement date, interest rate, partial debt to equity conversion, sufficient additional funding needs etc. requiring varying expertise such as Chief Investment Officer, Accountants, Assessors, Financial & legal advisors. Keep in mind the practitioner is dealing with a semi-state institution which is seldom simple nor expeditious.
It's their prerogative to negotiate the lowest impacting compromise (best deal) that may be required under restructuring and to consider options put forward by the practitioner as well as to explore all other avenues that may contribute to an agreement, successful restructuring & to achieve the unified aim amounting to best ROI.
I don't like the delay primarily because of concerns for escalating repair/remediation costs but for what it's worth, I think it's exactly as it states on the box i.e. Discussions with the Primary lender (IDC) are continuing.
ATB