RE: Good luck...1 May 2023 13:18
30-40p not 8p with Barcelona going into SPV and Hokkaido. Adam is the industry expert so reposted.
Expecting significant re-rate in May.
The other point to note, is that they only seem to take on an SPV when the formulation is right and the efficacy/pharmacodynamics look promising.
So, whilst any delays are incredibly frustrating as a SH, if any pass these, then they have much more promise than an otherwise lead-generated test material. It's essentially optimised, and to get to that stage in a large pharma could cost 10-15 Million quid.
VAL are good at cost-cutting in this, and seem to do it on a fairly narrow shoe-string.
So, ultimately, you could argue that CLX might be "valued" at 15-20p as is, all these months in, and that any additional SPV could be 10p each, at signature.
But I don't want to annoy the converse posters, so I'll just say that I *personally* think that 10p significantly undervalues the one SPV we have, without considering anything else like the lab; 301; 3M in the bank; the cost of the VAL "shell"; work undertaken with two more evaluations etc.
But I do strongly disagree with the line "it takes years for commercialisation", as that simply isn't true. There are other AIM Biopharma outfits with milestone deals in place for compounds at an earlier stage than CLX001 currently is, wherein formal drug development work had not yet started at contract stage (just concept).