RE: Gold / Silver up. Stocks down27 Mar 2026 18:56
On a positive note , Mexico has not had steep increases in diesel costs (according to the internet) due to policies of the Mexican government. This means Mexican miners are facing less margin compression then global miners.
Based on my calculations I believe if the share price was purely based on 2025 results, the share price should be Β£28. This was at a silver average of $41.5.
This means at $80 , the share price should be a lot higher.
What's funny is yesterday UBS gave a negative view on preciouse metals, today it's positive. I think the news cycle might be generated by AI, and is different every day to give variety.
There has been criticism of Fres of management recently, and granted they are not the most dynamic. But in their defence any action they take on increasing Vol or reducing cost or acquisition will not be felt in short/medium term.
They are sitting on a winning position, if they do nothing they are likely to win even more. Its the lowest risk strategy just don't mess things up. A safe pair of hands.
What annoys me is they keep pushing their development projects into the future, I suppose because they feel secure that they can stretch current mines without doing anything radical.
One consolation is that this strategy maximises cash generation short/medium term. Make hay while the sun shines.
I think that both of these price targets are nonsense. The cash generation/ drop-through/ operational gearing of this busines is very high. Especially at current PM prices. Β£43 is too low should be closer to Β£70 if these pm price hold.