RE: If this question is not raised28 Feb 2024 13:11
"Hi UIM, nothing wrong in thinking around all risks and concerns as this is kind of crunch time now for GGP and for us as shareholders, there are instances where majors sell off assets of all types that are picked up by small companies and run more efficiently with less overheads and a singular focus in every industry. You need a damn fine team to do that, funding capability and as always some luck on your side IMO and we seem to have the 2 ingredients in principle that you can have some measure of control on."
-- Afternoon Dips - Agree with that but then there is a flipside, a large major can absorb stuff we can't and that can't be discounted, I work in a place where we take contracts from smaller companies all the time, we do that because we can absorb things, use our national structure to take away local costs into our more efficient central team and we can afford to deliver the same project at less than a local company could so when the local authority reduce the money on the contract we are in prime position to sweep in, that's my experience, not the other way around. Not discounting what you say though.
"The 2 assets look primed for a quick transaction though given comments from the NEM earnings calls and progress evidenced already with one deal being confirmed. Unsubstantiated rumours of two other bidders via a press article are as of yet unconfirmed and in all truth as you know, we haven’t yet heard officially from Greatland on what their plans are but they seem pretty obvious to many of us."
-- I definitely agree on it been a quick transfer as the losses aren't something that Newmont will want to sit on if there isn't a future. I personally don't see the plans as obvious, I think many are in for a shock because they see it as black and white, hope I'm wrong though and it's me in for a shock but even if I am and we are then that comes with it's own associated risks as a shareholder, huge risks to the value to ME, I think what many don't do on here is differentiate themselves as a shareholder to the company, the company can plod on, survive and do well without it always translating it to shareholder value, I've seen it many times. Not saying that's what's going to happen as I openly admit I've not a clue but I'm just acutely aware that it's not as black and white as people make out.
"I have the thought that if other parties are bidding and GGP are aware it makes sense to see what is being offered to match the highest offer Newmont negotiate, while establishing the ceiling of what you might be able to match any offers at. Otherwise, I assume the team will be working on preparing and/or negotiating the deal they’ve been planning in this eventuality since Newmont bid for Newcrest depending on how advanced talks are."
-- Time will tell.