Online retail - view of Bank of America20 Jan 2023 11:38
Apologies if this has already been discussed. It's a pleasure to post something positive for once.
"We are still prudent on consumer demand and model almost no sector growth in 2023 - but argue this is well understood by the market: caution on these stocks has brought 2023-2024 profit expectations down 55-90% since January 2022, & valuation to 13x EBITDA 2024, 35% below pre-pandemic."
Bank of America said that for the shares to recover from here, these companies just need to convince the market they will survive.
"This is where we are more positive: all companies in our coverage have implemented cost-savings measures, and several of the macro-related headwinds we recently saw - freight, raw materials, energy, inventory glut - are reversing."
"This should be enough to go through 2023, even for Asos and Boohoo, which have the most stretched balance sheets in our view."
"Putting it all together: expectations now look fair, if not prudent, on a sector trading at very low levels and even if we may be early on our call, that is enough to turn positive here, in our view."