Declining global Ore Grades!!!14 Mar 2026 02:34
While gold and silver continue to benefit from geopolitics and safe-haven demand, tungsten is experiencing its own supercycle in 2026. Prices for tungsten concentrates, APT, and powder have multiplied by up to 110 percent since the beginning of the year and are now testing record highs—driven by Chinese quotas, declining ore grades, and exploding high-tech demand.
Price Recovery Becomes a Rally: +500% in One Year
Tungsten prices have staged a breathtaking turnaround over the last 12 months. Concentrates are currently trading at around 22,000–24,000 USD/MTU (Metric Ton Unit (MTU), where 1 MTU = 10 kg of tungsten trioxide), APT is breaking the 450 USD mark, and powder prices are climbing to 55,000 USD/t—an increase of over 500 percent since the 2024 lows. Analysts are referring to the “rising-easily, falling-hardly” phenomenon: the metal climbs effortlessly but hardly retreats, as the supply gap has become structural.
As the global market leader (80 percent of production), China cut quotas by 6.5 percent in 2025, tightened export contingencies, and raised recycling quotas—while ore grades in mines are simultaneously declining. CICC forecasts a global deficit of 20,000 MTU by 2028, as demand explodes from defense, semiconductors, EV batteries, and AI data centers.