RE: UP N OVER4 Mar 2022 22:38
I cannot see how russian economic situation will massively spill over into Western markets other than prolong inflation due to russias importance on the commodity markey. There is no chock-a-block russian debt on western bank balance sheets or huge amount of exposure in the russian stock market. Most western banks are the most robist they have ever been (DB being the exception). The moex entire mcap wouldn't even barely make it to a top 10 us company (before sanctions) when it opens, it would be lucky to get into the AIM 100.
With oil at this level, US shale will spring back to life. UK will finally thank goodness be forced to deal with franking for the huge oil and gas reserves in the North sea and Bowhill, removing the ridiculous 0.5 ricter scale earthquake limits (building sites cause bigger earth tremours) and US limit is 4, orders of magnitude bigger on a log scale, and finally start building some much needed nuclear power, finally putting our finger up to putins oil, guaranteeing energy dependence and decarbonising all in one foul swoop.
If china wants to take up the slack with russia, then that will cause a hole elsewhere in which the west could rapidly fill. Every scenario ends up with russia being china's cyka, and china will take their pound of flesh for the huge risk they are taking supporting russia, that is if they don't p**s off china so much that they shun them, and there are signs that this is already happening. Then russia would be well and truly fcuked.