GOOD OR DISAPPOINTING RNS?19 Sep 2012 15:21
Firstly long term I also beleive this is a good investmen and take the point made re chinese investors but....
The RNS is disappointing for the following reasons:
Mined tonnage is up but we are mining rock not gold
When the flood impacted production we were told in the relevant RNS that in remaining period VGM would make up the2-3Koz shortfall. Their target was 65K oz, they hit 53K oz. Unless I have missed something that is a pretty big shortfall, with only 3k oz accounted for? Any views on the other 9K oz?.
The 100k oz target seems to have moved to the right. They predict they will get up to that production levels in H2 this current year so 100k oz, if achieved will be August 2014. No target for 2012/13 as far as I can see?
Could it be Chinese influence has it increased the focus on sorting the mine out sort term and not necessarily bothering about gold production/profit at the moment?
Finally no mention of the power plant? How long does financing, which we were going to arrange, take. That plant must also be 2 years off and that means continuing high production costs.
Other than Chinese takeaway, power plantapproval I can't see this moving higher short term. I think I will be putting these shares under my bed for the next two years I'm afraid.
Can anyone shed a more optimistic light on the RNS particularly the timeline?