Unbelievable value1 Apr 2010 12:30
Thanks to Daz
Daz - 1 Apr'10 - 10:27 - 1094 of 1094
This does look a potential bagger or more at these levels on the big assumption that trading holds up and the banks aren't too greedy.
With 38.35m shares in issue, at a price of 11.5, the mkt cap is 4.29m. Revenues for the full year to 2008 were 137m. So even allowing for a substantial fall for y/e 2009 and that a lot of the revenue is very low margin, the price to sales ratio (PSR) makes the company look very good value.
Profits in 2008 (probably a peak year) were £8m, so even a 100% dilution would mean the company values on a p/e of just over 1 on 2008 profits, so even if profits forecasts are halved for 2011, it still means a valuation of 2 on 100% dilution
There are still risks as to the terms of the re-financing and the prospects for the education division, given the imminent Government spending cuts but the current price I think discounts all of that and a lot more.
Looks good for a further rise even after the mark up so far today, when people start to do the sums.