Some evaluation29 Nov 2017 22:26
So considering an RNS landed saying OXP (as it is currently known) can have a US OTC launch (the easiest and most profitable one) on a phase I trial the rise was tiny today.
So. Why?
Two options from where I can see.
1. Market will pick up over next few days.
2. So, this split - its solely due to launching being incapable (until todays RNS) and the plan is to have a ~20 mil cash shell and a pharma company with ~1 mil to launch a product.
The issue here is a cash shell is worth...the cash...The pharma company with only 1 mil will be worth...3x cash - maybe 5 as it has "future capability"
So we have 1.6p per share for the 20 mil and assuming same figures for OPL (which they said is the case) about 0.25p per share max totalling 1.85p.
Now this was once worth north of �250 mil mcap as it had a lot of cash (25 mil) and a stream of lucrative pipeline products.
The separation and cash shell was a strategy to recover losses of basically "no commercial capability".
That commercial capability is back on the table and OXP/OPL need that cash to further that launch.
They raised exactly that cash as they knew the cost to market this.
So unless they cant backpedal we will have a company with a viable product strapped of the cash it needs, and a cash shell investing in some random company "preferably pharma as thats what the directorate know".
I think that is the reason the SP hasnt lifted much.I hope they can backtrack the shell strategy.