RE: Cantor12 Oct 2021 12:48
Dibs re GGP, i wasn't going to mention it, but since you brought it up. IMO the problem with the PFS was how much they manipulated it. According to Newcrest, who produced the PFS, the NPV was $228m, the IRR was 16% and the free cash flow for the LOM was $398m...and this was with an NPV of 4% which is far below industry norms, XTR had 8 or 10% valuations for its scoping, 8% is industry norm (a lower NPV adds massively to the figures). Nobody invests for 10 years with the hope of only making 4% a year.
GGP then manipulated the figures, using higher metal prices and better exchange rates to produce an NPV of $508m, with an IRR of 27% and Free cash over LOM of $764m.
So you can either believe that Newcrest know what they are doing or that GGP think they know better. The Market is not going to believe GPP over Newcrest and the figures are pretty dire. They also don't include any milling costs in their record breaking low costs.