IEA research suggests hugh increase in biofuels by 203017 Jul 2025 09:26
Good bit of reading if you want to see the biofuel trajectory over the next 5 years. "
Biofuel demand growth shifts to aviation and maritime fuels by 2030
The share of biofuels in total liquid fuel transport demand expands from 5.6% in 2023 to 6.4% in 2030 (on a volume basis) to reach 215 billion litres a year (5.7 EJ) by 2030 in the main case. This growth is concentrated in the United States, Europe, Brazil, Indonesia and India, which together account for 85%. These regions are not only maintaining but, in many cases, strengthening their mandates, GHG intensity targets and financial incentives to support biofuel adoption. Globally, road biofuel demand expands by 27 billion litres (0.8 EJ) and aviation and maritime fuel use increases nearly 9 billion litres (0.3 EJ).
However, by 2030, aviation and shipping are responsible for more than 75% of new biofuel demand. Average annual consumption in these sectors expands 30% between 2023 and 2030 to meet targets in North America, Europe and Japan. Overall aviation and maritime fuel demand also increases to 2030, further supporting growth. " https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2024/renewable-fuels