Taseko on SmithWeekly Discussions27 Jul 2021 02:32
Informative interview with Taseko CEO Stuart McDonald
13:16 - 17 years of reserves remaining, production stable at 130 million p/a, exploration news likely in the fall or late summer.
15:00 - hedging (put protection) part of company strategy, will remain a strategy, but plenty of leverage to upside.
16:55 - confident on moving ahead with Florence, no need for JV partner or minority stake sale thanks to Gibraltar cash flows and high copper price, permits to follow shortly (August-September).
18:30 - Successful partnership at Gibraltar, consortium of 3 Japanese companies has been a successful model for Taseko, companies looking for offtake agreements have shown similar interest at Florence and Yellowhead.
19:22 - Final EPA permit this autumn, 18 month construction and first production at Florence early 2023 (H123). First year ramp up, expect approx 50 million pounds followed by capacity rates, 85 million pounds for the next 20+ years.
21:23 - Taseko reserves are nearly 15 billion pounds copper in the ground across all assets, value for Florence not appreciated by market and currently nothing assigned for Yellowhead, New Prosperity and Alley. Market yet to recognise value of pipeline of projects despite company track record. Gibraltar was acquired for $1 approx 21 years ago, developed into a world class operation. Florence, next in line, acquired in 2014 for $60m, one of the lowest capital intensity copper projects in the world with a 20 year mine life.
26:42 - Yellowhead development, 2-3 year to permit the mine, ready to move forward in 2023-24. $1 billion capex to get off the ground. By 2024 with Gibraltar and Florence producing Taseko will be "generating several hundred million dollars in EBITDA", potential to JV Florence to an offtaker, then Yellowhead becomes a very manageable project to build. Yellowhead is enormous, production equivalent to Gibraltar and Florence combined: 180-200 million pounds of copper!
When Yellowhead comes online in 5 years output doubles to 350-380 million pounds of annual copper production, Taseko would be one of the largest producers in North America.
30:02 - New Prosperity, one of the largest, undeveloped copper gold deposits in the world. No timeline owing to challenges with permitting / local community.
33:26 - Harmony and Alley, development stage projects, none core for Taseko despite potential. Alley may present new opportunities with future growth of battery market and new technologies given rare metal by products.
35:49 - Taseko not looking to initiate M&A activity in any way, organic growth of pipeline projects, huge catalyst for share price, no need for further acquisitions. Non core assets certainly open to JV or disposals.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvgfItv6-Eg