Geckoman22 Apr 2012 17:07
Good post, recommended! The market has dropped accordingly over the past year on numerous failings, neccessary dilution and lack of progress. As you have pointed out this has culminated in a very reasonable market value for what is potentially a 25,000 ounce producer. Even with operating costs around $100000/oz (assuming that will be the end year target) the company will be able to fund future exploration and ramp up production to the stated target of 100,000 ounces by 2017.
But at the moment the market value is IMO quite fair. At this point the $6m fine and fees stand - this is a huge blow to a junior struggling to meet deadlines and stated targets. It was 30,000 ounces this year at Sekisovskoye originally which is again likely to be downgraded. The BOD can only make efforts to improve production rates through careful mining procedure (monitoring recovery rates etc). They have a lot of catching up to do considering only 14k out of 100k tonnes has been processed.
I think when HMB prove that they can operate at this level without the need for further issues, loans or grants, then and only then will investors realise the potential this company has to offer. It is by no means concrete, but at current gold prices HMB should be raking in the cash.