RE: Profit Warning17 Jul 2019 12:50
keith/bignose agree with all you say today.very disappointing to see all the impetus which we hoped recordati would bring to fortacin evaporating.unless sales are better than we expect,which i doubt,its hard not to see recordati losing interest.so fortacin wise i suspect we are going to have to wait for progress with FDA application before there is anything positive to say.china may help eventually but not holding my breath.on a positive note assuming the FDA application is progressed as proposed(unfortunately give their history thats quite a big assumption re regent),by the start of next year it will not seem quite so far away so may generate some interest as 2020 progresses.the main reason ,however, that i am encouraged in the meantime by the possible change in direction,is not that i think CBD is necessarily going to be the next big thing(it may be but it could also be the next tulip bubble),but rather that if it all goes ahead there will be a widening of the core investor base.until now its really only been mellon as the sole significant investor.with abony on the board i really do expect gibson s performance to come under much greater scrutiny.just going on the anecdotal evidence of the news re EMMAC and its spate of acquisitions over thelast few months i do not get the feeling that antonio costanzo is someone who lets the grass grow under his feet.if he and the others do invest then i expect rapid expansion in the CBD area and if gibson is not able to deliver this he will go.my comments about his loan being converted in effect into a share entitlement to assist in his departure if he fails to deliver is of course just speculation but i do sense a sea change here imo.