Is TIG a buy?7 Jun 2026 20:48
TIG is my largest holding and I’ve been asking myself: “Is TIG a good buy at 39p?” These are just my thoughts, not advice.
Why TIG? First, the free float. Of the 250m shares in issue (including 4m LTIP shares), 95% are held by Kestrel and 14 others. That leaves maybe 10m truly tradeable shares once long term holders are excluded. With a float this tiny, the share price is mechanically sensitive to buying and fragile to selling. This asymmetry matters.
Second, the register is deeply underwater. Kestrel’s average looks ~84p on 68m shares (a £31m paper loss). Slater bought heavily in 2021–22 at ~142p and sits ~£29m down. Using disclosed holdings and average trading ranges, I estimate Kestrel, Slater, Inter.Services, Erin and FIL are sitting on ~£77m of embedded losses. Even if I’m 10–15p out, the conclusion stands. This is why the register is structurally aligned toward a break up, not a slow rebuild. They cannot sell in the market without collapsing the price, and organic growth would take years.
Third, the LTIP. The CEO and CFO stand to receive ~4m shares if targets are hit; the CEO already owns 3.1m. Their incentives only pay out if the share price re rates materially. Management and shareholders are aligned.
So how do you get 150p? Step one is selling DIS. Assume TIG gets £200m. DIS EBITDA is £15.85m (FY2025). A buyer like GoDaddy can add ~£3m cost synergies and ~£3m revenue synergies, giving ~£21.85m buyer adjusted EBITDA. A £200m price is just over 9× EBITDA, which is conservative given domain/identity assets often transact at 10–12× due to their recurring, low churn revenue. A £200m sale clears TIG’s £65m debt and leaves ~£135m net cash. Removing the £9m annual interest burden even allows for a 3p dividend if they choose.
Post DIS, the market must reprice what’s left. TIG becomes slim line, unleveraged, cash rich and simple. Search + Comparison deliver ~£16m EBITDA today, and with synergies could be closer to £25m. Once TIG holds ~£135m cash, enterprise value collapses relative to equity value, making the stock look optically cheap on EV/EBITDA and forcing a re rating.
Using FY2025 EBITDA for Search (£6.67m) and Comparison (£9.11m), and applying fair multiples of 6 and 10, you get £131m. Add £135m cash and you get an implied value of ~106p per share, before any buyer synergies. With synergies, a 150p+ takeover valuation is entirely plausible.
TIG’s early US Comparison activity (e.g., BestPick partnership) increases strategic visibility and puts them on the radar of larger monetisation platforms.
This, to me, is the clearest route back to historic share price levels. Many variables are under TIG’s control, and the CEO, CFO and major shareholders — especially Max Royde — are highly motivated to deliver.
The picture should become clearer on 15 June with the accounts, annual report and (hopefully) a positive DIS update. That update is the catalyst for everything that follows.
These are just my musings, definitely not