RE: Tax18 Jan 2023 23:16
The problem we have in the UK are the 2 main political parties are addicted to spending, the conservative are now new labour on steroids. This has been financed by treasury gilts bought by the Bank of England with printed money, over half the UK debt is owned by the BOE, add in off book liabilities like PFIs, public sector pension schemes etc and we are talking about 3 times the official UK debt. The UK government has now come to the end of the road for borrowing, you sell gilts in the markets you will have to offer a higher rate so pay more interest which is unaffordable or pass it to BOE who prints the money and stokes inflation.
So what next, a sane person would cut spending, you cannot tax your way out of a crisis as history has proved every time. However our PM who is just using his position as a stepping stone the better things (GS directorship, WEF post etc) will not cut anything, just puts up taxes to cover the shortfall until the election when he will move on. So first comes direct taxes, freeze in allowances, WFT, Corp tax, dividend tax plus capital gains tax etc. After a short time the tax take will go down (as it always does) as companies and people leave the UK or downsize, retire early, work less, invest less especially in small businesses. Now we need new taxes, can’t and won’t cut spending, so next is wealth taxes, perhaps starts with ISAs, then large houses and general wealth. More people give up working hard leave UK etc. Either ends in financial collapse or a realisation that there has to be huge spending cuts which leads to civil unrest.