Member Info for Temple_of_Doom

I see directors are taking advantage of SIPP benefits ....

Very true ... 10% haircut in production .... back down to £2?

Equity issue is common when shares trade at a premium .... the annoyance is when some funds trade well below NAV and refuse to buy shares at a discount, presumably because the selling of shares reduces market cap and their income.

Tim Martin is the Phillip Green of pubs in my view ....

.... he will walk away with a couple of hundred million leaving investors with nothing but debt, have sold on his loss making business for a quid to a mug get rid.

Never trust a Brexiter Tory or any Brexiter for that matter.

Taken a tiny punt today .. still a couple of thousand down from 2019 but bailing was a sensible move .... housing market is buoyant for the time being - check, a lot of nutters on the roads enjoying sparse motorways - check, medical enquiries set to spike with pressurised NHS - check.

Competition in the sector is the worry .. so not entirely confident ... but can see £1 a share with divi reinstated plus noted some debt paid off from last results.

Net debt free ... next year but yes ... look good ....

Trig seems to be a contra market indicator that is holding its own as CV19 collapses other shares ... so I buy in this sector when taking profits elsewhere and this sector is down .... and then reverse .... JLEN was my preference but jumped in here at 123 ish ... sold 125 with other shares taking a beating this past week taken profits and back in 119.4-121 ...

Lucky!

now if I am not mistaken not getting severe covid disease but rather mild covid disease means one has the disease .. so your choice of wording would be wrong in any case ...

.. but nice try.

So I'll stick with "treatment!".

"You just trashed any credibility, you're obviously part of the saddo cult still grieving about Brexit."

"Who voted for Brexit? Individual and regional data combined"

"Leave is associated with older age, white ethnicity, low educational attainment, infrequent use of smartphones and the internet, receiving benefits, adverse health and low life satisfaction. "

... as your comment demonstrates.

Now try and address the question to hand.

Reproductive R for CV19 is around 3 that means one needs a population immunity around 76% for steady state so if a vaccine is itself 76% effective the whole population needs to be vaccinated to get to herd immunity from the jab alone.

Working on Pfizer jab, with 400,000 persons vaccinated each day, the saving for UK on Pfizer vaccine versus AZN vaccine is around 50 days ... Pfizer wins hands down.

On "100% efficacy against severe or critical disease and hospitalisation"

.. with 26% transmission one runs the risk of virus mutating around the virus as is happening now with the SA strains rendering the AZN vaccine useless as far as recent reports are concerned ..

.. and yes, I've had the AZN vaccine ... given that first "robust" clinical trial data on 65+ was published 3 days ago by AZN ... it makes me wonder what criteria UKGOV used to justify giving the AZN jab to UK's elderly and most vulnerable .. but that would be risk taking Johnson.

Meanwhile, I'm grateful to our older and vulnerable people in the UK showing me that side effects from AZN are minimal ... so the worst risk is that AZN does nothing ... but I'm not convinced that this is the point.

:)

prophylaxis
[?pr?f?'laks?s]
NOUN
"treatment given or action taken to prevent disease."

Do my eyes deceive me .. or do I see the word "treatment" in the definition of prophylaxis.

Pedant springs to mind.

The problem for AZN is that it now has a long history of problems in presenting results along with changes in goalposts.

For the UK, it means Johnson's rush to be first out of the post has risked the wrong choice of vaccine .. that's the risk he took, while UK people will pay the price for a Plonker of a PM ...

.. but then again .. Plonker Brexiters voted for a plonker PM so what else in new?

"It isn't being peddled as a treatment"

Yet from today:

"100% efficacy against severe or critical disease and hospitalisation"

is a treatment, being peddled. ROFL :)

"when the global standard is anything over 50% efficacy."

Rubbish .. depends upon the reproductive number R of the disease in question. 50% is an R of two CV19 is higher.

"A vaccine providing 76% efficacy is easily enough to provide herd immunity across general populations, "so your statement is not valid"."

Not for CV19 .... a vaccine with 76% efficacy would requires 100% of the population to be vaccinated with CV19 ...

Pfizer jab with 91% efficacy would require far less of the population to be vaccinated to get to herd immunity.

Back to skool for you I fear.

If you google:

SIR model simulation

You can work through the ideas yourself with an online simulation.

"I have memories, from last year, of headlines stating that the AZN vaccine 100% prevented severe illness, which is the most important thing in my opinion."

Over the short term maybe, but viruses adapt, and so a vaccine peddled as a treatment doesn't stop transmission and mutation for which a virus will be guided by a vaccine to find a way around ... so your statement is not valid over the longer term.

Meanwhile:

76% vaccine efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19

85% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 in participants aged 65 years and over

What's the difference between "vaccine efficacy" and "efficacy" .. is this a typo?

The efficacy of the AZN vaccine was reduced by 3% at the request of US regulators ...

.. those running clinical trials seems to be no better than hacks .... doesn't give great confidence going forwards ... given the existing history or reporting problems.

Ignoring Fake News artists I bought a load today.

“ : "These findings reconfirm previous results observed in AZD1222 trials across all adult populations but it's exciting to see similar efficacy results in people over 65 for the first time. “

Mmmm thank you UK population.

When Sepl bounces off 90p ... can go all the way back to 70p easy enough.

Almost in buy back territory ... another 10% c’mon MMs ... do your job.

;)

Oil back to $70 and an HFT bear raids Seplat .....

Brave.

Because buying in volume will push the price up.

Used to trade this between 57-61p .... kept clear this past year but could not resist after this morning’s fall.