RE: Speaking of failures29 Jun 2024 19:00
After watching the webinar over again (PANR) it was clear that the finance guy had little to nothing to say, in fact his silence spoke loudest regarding the structure of payments ahead. No plan on raising the $60-85m needed and that total did not include covering the debt, reliant on FID covering costs and investment for a gas pipeline that may never happen, already discounting the gas in the hope that Alaska can point them to cheaper loans, and this all 3-4 years away even if it goes ahead. Poor Bob missing in action, he did look unwell during the last webinar so I hope for the best.
No wonder the SP tanked after saying the gas was still a liability especially if the pipe does not go ahead. All future earnings are based on oil sales at the moment with no gas, but when it came to raising funds gas was priority. Initially they needed $300m+ but with gas pipe they only need $60-85m.
They also spoke about only being worth 2c per barrel but that it will reach $5 pb once they are fully funded and commercially attached to taps. I get that to 250x the value today but maybe LTI can check my maths ;)
Another thing picked up on was that they said raising $60-85m is much easier for a company that's now worth over $300m than when it was only worth $100m, but on Friday it was only worth $200m which means any dilution would have to be for many more shares than they expected.
Talking about PANR as they are at the moment our big brother, same family, same outlook, same area, but they don't want any JV with 88E, no plans for that going forward.