RE: 10% DROP MY AR*E15 Apr 2024 11:06
View from Bridge: Market consolidation is expected, with a potential downturn later this month and into MayโMid-to-late May bottom possible, followed by a summer rally.
CPI analysis: 2.6% now, potential rise to 3.2-3.7% in next 2 quarters due to "echo bounce" and geopolitical risks. Fed may respond with a surprise 0.25% rate hike instead of expected cuts.
Recession fears remain unfounded. Geopolitical tensions, oil prices, and droughts could push inflation and food prices higher.
Overall, the S&P 500 experienced losses across all sectors, with financials being the worst hit due to weakness in bank stocks. Real estate, materials, and healthcare sectors also saw significant declines, influenced by various market factors, including rising interest rates.
This week: continued market consolidation with S&P 500 around 5150.