RE: Strider4 - a small challenge13 Dec 2018 10:38
K3 - now that is an interesting challenge indeed. It's not quite as simple as that - hear me out:
The bulk of my investment capital is currently in SOLG (my money is where my mouth is so to speak), as I see it as relatively (as far as these things go) low risk. Know that the market caps of the two shares WRES and SOLG are not really comparable, and so they act like different beasts.
SOLG acts more like a mid to large cap, whereas WRES is definitely small cap. The risk-reward equation is therefore incomparable.
Now, possible price targets for SOLG by the end of March depend on a number of uncertainties. I would say that a base case of 45-50p+ is highly achievable on the back of a very solid PEA, some further nice drill cores out of Alpala. However, if there is a whiff of a takeover, all bets are off and you could be looking at £1 plus. Similarly, if the drill permits for their other prospects are granted, then a high level of excitement will be generated which could push the price into the 60-70p terrain.
WRES, it's a hard one to call. Clearly, it's on my watch list as it is a share that has potential (I've never denied it) and it has shown it can trend nicely and profitably in the past. Any entry for me here would be chart-based and I doubt I would risk more than £5k at this juncture.
And as you say, I'm a trader so I could be in and out of WRES and SOLG in that time! It really depends on the news flow and price action along the way, whereas you're going to hold steady thoughout.
So, to come to the crunch. I'm saying a base case of 50% increase for SOLG by the end of March. Now, a 50% increase here would see 0.75p. Tricky - I think it's quite conceivable that we'll see a spike to there at some point between now and then. But I don't think it will hold. So, yes I will take that bet.
Winner has bragging rights and loser can admit defeat no excuses. I'm more than capable of facing the music if proved wrong.