RE: DOOM!! If HERON not Remedied8 Feb 2025 07:22
I would go as far as to say, if Matad don't sort those financial situation out, then there is a real risk of the share going into a point of no return.
Think about it. If anything happens to Heron, it means that MATAD would revert back to a company with no producing asset and cashless.
With Heron, 200bopd is better than nothing, but in the long run it wouldn't really change the course too largely due to the new commitments of the Borzon Block
I fully expect any revenue from Heron will be put into Borzon exploration activities but we all know the forecasted revenue from Heron wouldn't be enough. Fund raise will be expected.
Financial position MATD will be the same or worse. There won't be a cash positive balance in the MATAD bank, any kind of revenue will be used towards Borzon.
Borzon a sure win? Absolutely not.
Buck is just trying his luck in yet another rainbow chasing expedition of his.
This is back up by the results we have seen from Heron, unless he proves otherwise, but 200bopd is a disappointment.
There has been no mention of the expansion of the Heron field besides the remedial of H1/H2. Reading between the lines, I think it's fair to say the team have made a verdict that Heron isn't worth putting more funds into.
This also is in line that Buck has already set foot in the new Borzon Block.
The up to £14.9 million is a commitment, but the results are not guaranteed. There will be further share dilution.
If Borzon doesn't come in, then I think it is safe to say that MATAD's position as a company, will be damaged beyond repair.
It's not as rosy as the rampers thinks. DYOR.