Jugged Hare Reception5 Sep 2018 14:54
Well organised and well attended. The President Energy reception was certainly a worthwhile event with ample opportunity to quiz both Rob Shepherd and Peter Levine.
The main point that I took from my discussions with both Directors was that the current Argentine crisis is having little or no impact on its operations. The impact appears to be largely affecting investor sentiment. It has not amended or postponed forthcoming projects, including its upcoming Puesto Flores drilling campaign. Basically, the crisis appears to have had no influence on its plans because it does not impact its cash flow.
Very importantly, the depreciation of the Argentine Peso has almost no impact on President's cash generation. To put it in a nutshell, the company receives the Peso equivalent of the US Dollar price on the day of payment, not on the day of invoice. The currency fluctuation in the intervening period is irrelevant. Sure, if it was in a period of hyper-inflation with prices doubling in hours, it would be an issue. But it's not. It simply requires good treasury management and that is what they have put in place.
Just to add to some of the points already made. My understanding is that there are limitations on what they can do with Estancia Vieja in terms of gas production. However, they are looking at becoming energy self-sufficient in both Estancia Vieja and Puesto Flores by early next year and also selling electricity into the grid. The cost is estimated to be “In the low millions (US$)”.
Peter Levine is clearly sick to death of the saga surrounding the Chinese pumps. So I think we can put that to bed. The likelihood of getting compensation, in my view, is remote. The new replacement pumps cost US$1.5 million, which has been paid for, and they are in place. The upshot is that Puesto Guardian production has stabilised. My only concern with this concession is that the workovers appear not to have gone to plan. This leaves the company with no cheap options. If it wants to develop the field, it must undertake relatively risky drilling. And this it will do. That said, its licence stretches out to 2050 and all its mandatory work has been completed.
Paraguay is still on the cards with a well expected to be drilled next year at a cost of some US$12 million, to be funded through its own cash flow. When I asked what was holding back a potential participation partner, the response that I received indicated that it was not related to the geology or even to the financial structure of the deal. But it was the lack of oil services infrastructure in Paraguay. President has spent a great deal of money on Paraguay and, I would suggest, is now in a better position for a successful drill. But it clearly needs luck on its side. Given the size of its acreage and its position in Paraguay, should the drill be successful, I would argue that the upside could be huge.
As has been mentioned, acquisitions are still on the radar but they were not forthcoming about any