RE: placing shares25 Jul 2018 12:24
Sageman is correct. Th daily volume more than accounts for the placing shares.
My opinion is that the share price weakness of the last week or so is simply an outcome of buyer apathy. LTH’s have had plenty of time in which to reach their preferred position sizes, and perhaps many are beyond the point where they will commit further capital by buying dips. Punters seeking life-changing gains by taking limited risk with non-life changing sums have been disappointed and the drip drip of their selling is weighing on the price as buying pressure is low. The frequent poster here who bought 100k at £2.60, moaned for a week about the absence of gainz and then told us he’d sold at £2.15 is probably typical. I suspect there are many like him, but most have the restraint not to broadcast their foolishness here. Ifonly he’d realised...
I do not attach credibility to the various conspiracy theories - “price being held down for a big buyer”, “door being held open for insiders at mates rates” etc. These don’t stand up to inspection - for example the mates rates idea is obvious rubbish as anyone can buy or sell at the market price - so just more uninformed nonsense from posters without understanding of market operations. In general the principle of not ascribing to malice anything that can be explained by lack of understanding is a good one.
There are some sensible voices here, in particular a few posters with interesting and relevant industry knowledge. I continue to visit as I am learning from them. I don’t post on oil drilling topics (pipe diameters, flow rates etc) because I don’t have professional expertise in this area. I recognise that not everyone self-edits in the same way though...
The calm voices saying wait for the EWT to progress are - I think - the ones with the right message for amateurs at this point.