RE: SOLG17 Dec 2019 12:45
In answer to the question regarding SOLG just before its re-rating.
This extract, from Master Investor 16.03.16, was at a time when SOLG was about 3p, having recently risen from under 1.5p. Hence SOLG Mcap ~£20m. They were on the cusp of a major discovery but cash available / dilution was a clear concern (btw, now >1.9bn SOLG shares in issue ):
"Exploration funding has already trebled Solgold’s issued shares in the 3 1/2 years since it started exploring at Cascabel and the shares have fallen accordingly. Only in November Solgold added another 8%, followed 10 days ago by 16%, raising £3.2 million to repay loans and creditors, to bring the current total to 954 million shares. Yet even this left little cash to cover a cash and exploration ‘burn’ of about £400,000 per month and rising, so investors expect another fund raise any time soon.
As for this ‘race’ against further dilution, Solgold points to the owners of recent major deposits whose shares often rocketed as their value clarified and investors flocked in. Examples are Tujuh Bukut (up 7-fold in a year) and Oyu Tolgoi (now Turquoise Hill, formerly Ivanhoe Mines) containing 2.7 billion tonnes of copper as well as gold and silver, which multi bagged while being explored. However, times might be different now. Then, investors were still following explorers. Now, especially on AIM (ASX and TSX are slightly better) superb drill results spur minor blips in the shares before they relapse again. So, rather more share dilution might occur today than would have a few years ago, and a share price might not rise by as much."
We can only hope that Arc's drilling campaign reveals truly significant resources. Where Arc is unusually positioned is that it has a means of generating cash from the small scale plant, critical to keeping the amount of dilution to a minimum.