ADVN plagiarist16 Mar 2021 08:26
Just dragged this over from the above. My view, Apollo Rocket , slow to start and then gaining altitude and speed nicely.
The fag packet version of this investment case goes something like this:
Turnover £1.1-£1.2 billion (order book several times that) (£1.163bn in 2019)
Target margin (per all their blurb) 7% - by 2024
Pre tax profit by 2024 = £75m
Post tax profit £55m
Number of shares of 275m
EPS of 20p.
Edit - slightly more nuanced version after the half year update is:
............................................2021....2022....2023....2024
Revenue....................................1,100...1,150...1,200...1,250
Margin........................................3%......4%......6%......7%
PBT...........................................33......46......72......88
PAT...........................................26......37......58......70
EPS (275 m shares)..........................9.6p...13.4p...20.9p...25.5p
Easy to say, they need to do it - probably from 2022, delayed from 2021 thanks to the continuing problems with their 2 crap contracts - the A465 in Wales and the Huntington National Grid farce - see half year results in the link below.
Net cash at 30 June 2020 (announcement 17/08/20) is £141m.
UPDATE - Trading Statement - 05 January 2021:
The year-end order book stands at GBP4.2 billion (31 December 2019: GBP4.2 billion), with c GBP1,020 million secured for 2021 (c GBP940 million secured for 2020 at end of FY19). The Group has a strong year-end net cash position of GBP102.5 million, ahead of expectations, (31 December 2019: GBP64.9 million) comprising GBP89.5 million of cash, GBP61.0 million share of cash in joint operations and GBP48.0 million of drawn debt. The average month-end net cash balance for the second half was GBP100.8 million (2019 full year: GBP41.2 million).
Now £100m equates to 36p per share (£100m / 275 million shares). So, at 60p per share (05/01/21) - back to the placement price - you get the business, which reflects the worst case scenario cash position of no recovery of the two crap contracts and the above projections - for 24p per share.
Price Predictions for 31.12.21:
Skinny...........................204
NPP62............................155
Ammu.............................153
Knowing..........................150
Cleverinvester...................150
Claymagnet.......................136
Hamhamham1.......................135
Imastu pidgitaswell..............125
Pinemartin.......................115
Riskblue.........................106
Grand time........................98
Wiganer...........................80
Thags.............................60
TheOldCodger......................55