RE: Despite16 Oct 2023 22:48
There’s nearly four years’ worth of cash left to fund the current payroll and overheads. After the end of 2025 there might be a fight then with the auditor over Going Concern qualification, that’s all.
The real urgency for the BoD will be from the fear of trying TFG’s patience for too much longer. However, it’s clear that the suggested roster of P2 trials is not a stand-alone strategy, and that’s why we have had precious little detail on trial designs, sizes, locations and even start-dates. After Sprinter, I would think that TFG’s message would have been “get an expert partner next time around and don’t risk the asset.”
Let’s assume that J&J are lined up as said partner, fully informed from Universal and the opportunity that has afforded for legitimate clinical dialogue with Synairgen since the middle of 2022. Let’s say a $300m investment is required from here to get SYN001 commercialised, involving a raft of trials of which the P2 cohorts represent just one small part. Can J&J really justify taking a minority stake in a £15m market cap company for a $300m investment, whether in the AIM vehicle or a derivative SPAC entity? Maybe some time ago when £2 was still a recent and therefore authentically referenceable SP (and when the planned US GM appointment suggested such a strategy), but the company is now an irrevocably tainted UK penny share.
So how do you maintain independence and facilitate the funding solution from here? TFG have already got the Special Resolution block in on raising finance.
So have TFG sanctioned a strategy to licence/franchise SNG001 out to a brand spanking new JV that receives the funding from J&J, and all of this is about to play out? That would then leave Synairgen as a small-scale entity simply sitting on the 50% investment in the JV. The additional reporting and compliance that goes with a small-scale listed non-trading company holding investments is what the new CFO is all about (and something the incumbent CFO probably didn’t fancy despite previously being happy to continue picking up £20k every month otherwise). But the main tell here is that in this scenario, the much meatier Finance role is in the JV which becomes the more complex operating company… and which perfectly suits the stronger CV of our current Finance SVP, who would otherwise have been a shoo-in for the Synairgen CFO role.
Now, if our Finance SVP hands her notice in tomorrow then my theory of an imminent JV crashes and we’re back to Doc Dan’s quite plausible “nothing to see” around the CFO change…
…but there’s also our new CMO who surely hasn’t come in to play second fiddle to Marsden for any length of time, maybe CEO of the JV?
And if a JV or other funded collaboration isn’t on the cards, then what has our Chief Commercial Officer been doing since February 2022?
Please don’t kill my optimism, it’s all I have apart from these 7p shares that the unapologetic Marsden was