Valuation Valuation!! This is a completely different beast from IPO!26 May 2022 21:49
I hear many times from new posters, the world has now changed so can't look at IPO price!
However THG hasnt exactly stood still since IPO either, it's a completely DIFFERENT BEAST! (Not just picking up 2020 THG and now selling it under a different environment in 2022, and ignore everything which has happened since LOL)
Since IPO:
£900M+ Acquisitions since IPO (Pericone MD - $60 million, Dermstore - $350 million, THG nutrition acq - £59.5 million, Brighter Foods - £43 million,
Bentley Laboratories - $255m, Cult Beauty - £275 million)
Hundreds of millions spent on IT and Infrastructure
Revenue growth from £1.1 Billion in 2020 to est £2.7 Billion in 2022 - 145% increase
New fulfilment centres around the world, Dubai and Melbourne soon
Automating Fulfilment centres with Autostore
Softbank Investment - $1Billion @ £5.96
THG Ingenuity - Grown multiple times since IPO, with 200+ clients now. 2 top 10 FMCG's signed up in Q1 22, 5 in total now.
New Chairman with 40+ years experience in the City
Cash £530m+
So if everything else stayed the same, and simply sold acquisitions back at the same price (may have grown in value, but lets forget that), aggregate the cash + acquisitions cash, and return it to shareholders, just this on its own is worth £1.04.
Look at it another way, status quo, the whole THG business which IPO'd for £5 only 20 months ago is now miraculously worth 54p today!!!! Now that doesn't sound right, ~90% decline, SURELY COMPLETELY ABSURD!!
There is a long way to go before we get to fair value. Journey is only starting. PE can make serious ££££ even at a huge premium from here, hence why they interested!
Sit tight, and let the games play out!