"Price is what you pay, value is what you get" Rope a dope in action during a closed period!22 Oct 2024 00:27
Let's look at some facts and fundamentals.
Yesterday:
Buys 441,137
Sells 257,005
Seems like a classic rope a dope in action. Similar pattern over many weeks, just as the close period started middle of Aug.
Revenue Β£330m, growth of 27% β
οΈ
Profit Β£46m β
οΈ Next year should be Β£60m plus.
Profit Margin 14% β
οΈ should see significant improvement next year.
EBITDA Margin 27% π€―
Operating Cash generation 93% π€―
Dividend 8.75p, growing every year for the last 10 years β
οΈ 100% increase since 2019 β
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Cash on hand Β£70m on 31st July, should be more now, more towards Β£90m β
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EPS 40p β
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Only 117m shares in issue β
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More than 50% held by top 7 holders β
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Founder still holds over 8% β
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CEO is former Meta Vice President β
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Global footprint, with 4300+ clients worldwide β
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Number 1 most quoted market research source worldwide βοΈ
One of the world's largest research networks βοΈ
Acquisition of Yabble β
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Acquisition of CPS β
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Had one off Acquisition costs with CPS this year.
From a valuation of Β£1.4b to Β£460m in 7 months
As I have said before, I can see a takeover nailed on. Bookmark this post.
On FY25 forward PE could be just 7x if not less.
Way over done, like SJP, it will soon correct itself, starting next week, narrative and momentum will swing, everything changes. 2 month close period officially ends.
I always had my eye on yougov as it has a huge brand, you come across them multiple times everyday and massively profitable, however couldn't manage to pay 1000-1200p, but down here, total gift, adding everyday now.
Expecting atleast 700p by year end. If takeover lands, who knows. Only few more days left for manipulation, expect directors to start hoovering up from next Tuesday. With the way they have moved this down, I would not be surprised with a 100p plus daily move in the coming days.
In a closed period, it's like the CEO and BOD jump out of the driving seat, and the shorters jump in, they cant find any gears, the only gear they know is reverse, and take it for a little joy ride, well CEO back in the driving seat in a few days. Tick tock.
All the best to any genuine long term holders (if there are any left)