RE: New broker4 Mar 2020 09:12
It may well be too early to give up on SEE MM but i see mostly risk in the next few months.
PM said fleet will be better in the second half, i think he knew it was going to do nothing this half.
Although we have 5,500 units in stock, that only takes us to 26k units if we install every unit and it seems we are not currently installing much if at all as the figures show a decline from Dec 2019's height.
Red
What formula? I calculate the daily KMS then divide by 350 to get a guide to fleet numbers. This results in figures that correlate with bod released figures so i regard it as accurate. My end of year figures were different to bod released figures by 2.5%
I've seen no increase in the last 4 months, we are still at 20,551 imo. With 500/mth my graph shows tha we get to 22,551 units at 1/07/2020.
I welcome anyone else who monitors fleet to release their figures/graphs but it seems a lot of people have an opinion but it doesn't seem backed up with any data.
Even Whatif18, who's figures tally with mine isn't that confident, only offering a " I am thinking 21,500" on the 29th Feb.
Well, id like to see evidence for that figure as its not reflected in the daily KMS travelled figures.
You can see the fleet 'progress' from the RNS's,
Over 16000 @ 1st Aug 2019
20,551 @ 31st Jan 2020
So that's approx 4000 in 6 months so 666/month.
Extrapolate that from 31st Jan 2020 to 1st July 2020 and you get 20,551 + ( 4 * 666 ) = 23,215
Like i said , it is what it is, unless we get a sudden rush of DMS installs.