RE: What price after payout13 Sep 2021 16:51
Welcome to the board David. FWIW and imo my thoughts 1) No reason to think price post payout would vary much from previous few weeks - remaining shares will still have a 9.6p net asset value; 2) 875m shares in issue so 271m left if full take up - there may some options to be sort out behind the scenes; 3) On top of the $80m capital return the company has said it will retain $24m cash plus $12m in escrow (so in total that's what is being used to calculate the 9.6p net asset ($80m +$24m+$12m = $116m/871m shares = 13.3c or 9.6p). In addition it has made a provision for tax, fees, bonuses, severance payments - I have seen not seen an actual quoted figure but there is a belief that a c.$20m provision has been made for such costs. If they spend less - good news assets go up; if they spend more - it comes out the $36m. The only other point to make is whether there are any issues with full release of the escrow monies. 4) Depends on events in point 3 above.....however I would think any material cash upside beyond the 9.6p net assets would be limited (and would also note limited downsides) - with any future premium tied into the promotion of the business as a cash shell vehicle and securing a successful RTO target. SB