RE: Last update…28 Jun 2026 16:59
My general focus next week is on hormuz.clearly others seem to have moved on from hormuz and its potential knock on affects in some fossil fuel markets.are they right,i dont know,but who does?
trumps iran mou appears that it may be falling apart,because its completely ridiculous and even many die hard trump fans realise the farcical portrayal by trump that its a great deal.we can all see its a major taco move.
many oil,gas and related products and companies dumped when oil collapsed and hormuz was sort of re opened.
can trump just walk away from hormuz to allow iran to claim to control it.
swathes of the general stock markets from my view point ,seem to want to believe that we have now moved on from hormuz and that the problem has been solved so its business as usual.they look at the oil price capitulation and translate that to the obvious benefits to most companies outside of the oil and gas related world.
i really struggle to go with that perspective as we speak today,maybe im wrong ,but unless trump finds a way of stopping iran from dictating what happens with hormuz going forward,then the idea that hormuz is solved and normalised,to me seems fantasy.
add to that ,the poor souls who were lost in the tragedy of qatar restarting their domestic gas production last week and i have to wonder if the oil bears have maybe been a little to keen.
i am not predicting where oil price is headed,because i simply dont know,but i constantly ask myself if the collapse was justified?
even if oil prices do rebound,how long before trump frets again and hits another taco button with the aim of getting oil back down again.
if trumps mou falls apart and fighting and attacks on ships escalate,where does that leave the flow of helium from the region?
not only that,heliums transportation is via containers on container ships and the normalisation of container ships their tracking through hormuz seems to be extremely limited when compared to the increase in the number of oil tankers that transited after the so called re opening of the straits.