RE: On For the Weekend !!!!16 Oct 2021 23:10
"The East African country is desperate to unlock as much as $30bn in foreign investment but also to escape the energy transition, or the rush to decarbonize that could render its enormous gas reserves useless."
The above excerpt is without doubt the most encouraging paragraph I have read from the Tanz Gov in the past 8 years.
Although this may be the sentiment & words from one person, all it would take is an environmentalist movement or elected a official to reset the landscape back. So I am not going to read too much into it.
According to the interview the Gov will continue to engage in talks with hopes that actions will be implemented & infrastructure investments starting in 2023. That is still in line with "first gas" in 2025, possibly earlier in mid 2024.
If the appetite for acreage in Tanz now starts to increase, that will change my opinion on whether a Ruvuma sale will come. To me it feels as though Solo/Scirocco and more importantly we the shareholders have dragged these Ball & Chain assets for over 10 years with little return. To see Ruvuma turn into a monster gas producer for Scirocco to have exited Tanz completely would be a kick in the teeth as far as I am concerned & another lost Gas Deal. So if a sale is on the cards, I would want to be higher than the £20M ballpark suggested by TR.
Right now Gas & LNG is more valuable than Biogas. So selling out of a high margin commodity to own a lower margin commodity may make ethical sense but not financial sense. Unless the G8 countries all sign legislation that a percentage of combustion engined vehicles or domestic heat generation need to run on Biogas by a particular date, I don't see a mass movement to switch in the near future.
Up to this point, my view has been that Scir should exit Tanz completely ASAP. However if the Gov now want to develop its resources & after years of stalling, want to fast track gas production then I would rather Scir keep a percentage as a passive revenue stream maybe a in "free carry" format.